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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: elmatador who wrote (16114)	3/4/2002 9:12:08 PM
From: Raymond Duray	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Re: Easy. The current population boom is just a blip. It will go down to one billion. Easy? No, I can't agree. It's going to be hard. Hard to pay attention to the news year after year as "911 incidents" become a commonplace as resource wars occupy humanity...

To: elmatador who wrote (16114)	3/4/2002 11:39:16 PM
From: Brumar89	Respond to of 74559

Here's an article on the subject. theatlantic.com ... Obviously, if for many generations the birth rate averages fewer than 2.1 children per woman, population must eventually stop growing. Recently the United Nations Population Division estimated that 44 percent of the world's people live in countries where the fertility rate has already fallen below the replacement rate, and fertility is falling fast almost everywhere else. In Sweden and Italy fertility has been below replacement level for so long that the population has become old enough to have more deaths than births. Declines in fertility will eventually increase the average age in the world, and will cause a decline in world population forty to fifty years from now. ...

To: elmatador who wrote (16114)	3/5/2002 3:36:32 AM
From: pezz	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 74559

<<If we would be running out of energy resources, or food, for that matter, the prices of those commodities would be going up. They aren't. >> You clearly don't understand the way this works do ya? Continuing advances in technology can increase the "take" of limited natural resources while at the same time the total supply of those resources are declining for years. But as many fishing villages around the world have seen eventually this results in a "crash" of the supply of said resources. The spike in prices is then too late <<Easy. The current population boom is just a blip. It will go down to one billion.>> Interesting theory ...Wish ya had some evidence to back it up. The truth of the matter is the worlds population is rising fast in all the wrong places. It's the third world growth that we should be afraid of. Guess what? China is bringing it's billion plus into the twenty first century an they are gonna do it with coal ! They said so. The third world wants LEVIES!! And they don't wanna hear the developed nations who have already cut down their forests tell them what goodies they can't have. <<The Malthusian vision of the Club of Rome -who failed miserably >> Perhaps they were just too early with their predictions of doom....After all that's what you bears say every time the market goes up don'tcha?....Wait...