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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (5808)3/8/2002 12:24:35 AM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
I'm sure you are right. As we become much more of a service economy, as opposed to a manufacturing economy, there will be many interesting distortions.

The "hedonics" issue was well covered by Kay, and I find myself basically in agreement with his postulating that hedonics has helped to overstate GDP. Good for those who have to pay "COLAs", not so good for the recipients. But, that, I believe, was the whole idea. :)

-R.



To: John Pitera who wrote (5808)3/8/2002 3:17:38 PM
From: Chip McVickar  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
John,

Not sure if you've posted this article...?
pimco.com

Fed Focus
Paul McCulley | March 2002

"Mr. Greenspan declared plainly that the CAPRI is higher, not lower, than today’s inflation rate. To wit, he wants aggregate demand to firm sufficiently for companies to be able to “take back” prevailing price discounts. That’s the “take back” that is on his mind, not the bond market’s fear of a “take back” of last year’s easing. Simply put, and this is probably the clearest asset allocation call you’ll ever hear from him, Mr. Greenspan wants stocks to outperform bonds in the quarters ahead. And he’s willing to underwrite a cyclical increase in inflation to bring about that outcome.

In fact, one day after testifying before Congress to this effect, Mr. Greenspan reinforced his stocks-over-bonds asset preference in a philosophical speech (that the media essentially ignored) to the Labor Department’s 2002 National Summit on Retirement Savings:......"