MARKET TALK: Invision Surge Not Paving Way For Caution
12 Mar 12:27
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 12:27 (Dow Jones) Six months after 9/11, Invision Technologies (INVN), which makes bomb-detection devices like those used at airports, has seen its stock price rise more than 1410%. It hit a 52-week high today and most recently is up 4.4% to $47.01. You'd think cautious option investors would be buying defensive puts to protect gains, but it's the bullish calls that continue to be active, traders note. In fact, there is even interest in calls expiring in further months - perhaps because some investors think there is a horizon of some years when these devices will still be in demand. Invision's March 50 calls, which are out-of-the-money and will expire Friday, are still fairly rich and are up 55 cents to 75 cents Tuesday. (KT) 12:18 (Dow Jones) Nomura Securities has moved many of its staff back to the 2 World Financial Center office. The equity and fixed-income division, including trading, sales and research, will be the last group to move and is expected to be back in WFC by the end of March. All phone numbers would remain the same as pre-Sept. 11. (JSX) 12:05 (Dow Jones) Credit Suisse First Boston Chief Executive John Mack tells investors and reporters in London that he's certain more job cuts are coming in the firm's investment banking division. (LC) 12:02 (Dow Jones) Corporate consensus seems to be that interest rates will go higher by the end of the 3Q, if not sooner. On that note, it's understandable why GE Capital would offer $3B of 30-year debt, taking advantage of those rates. But why would they then offer $2B of 3-year floating-rate debt at the same time? Talk is that tranche is on reverse-inquiry (buyer-driven). Makes sense, but has not been confirmed. In any case, deal expected to be a huge success. (KG) 11:49 (Dow Jones) As Pitney Bowes (PBI) shares approach Deutsche Bank's $45 price target (18.8 times the firm's 2002 EPS estimate), Deutsche Bank decides to downgrade the stock to market perform rather than change its target. "We like Pitney's market, competitive position, strategy, execution and shareholder focus, but believe that at current levels the shares are fairly valued." PBI shares are retreating from Deutsche's price target, down 4.3% to $41.98. (GS) 11:40 (Dow Jones) The recent strength in Japan's Nikkei stock index could be bad news for Bank of Montreal (BMO), unless you are a short seller. Merrill Lynch finds that over a 20-year period, one of the best stocks to short or underweight when Japan outperforms the rest of the world has been Bank of Montreal, strategist Robert Spector notes. For Spector, the correlation demonstrates the advantages of cyclical stocks over defensive and interest-rate sensitive issues amid signs of an economic rebound. In support of this view, Merrill's data also show that defensive names such as Gillette (G) and Pfizer (PFE) also underperform the rest of the world when Japan's equities are outperforming, and Canadian metal stocks "strongly outperform" the Canadian banks when this happens, Spector said. (BED) 11:34 (Dow Jones) Shares of EarthLink (ELNK) are on the move up Tuesday after the company announced it will offer high-speed Internet service through AT&T (T) Broadband's network. John Corcoran at CIBC World Markets says the deal will expand EarthLink's footprint for broadband cable. He notes AT&T Broadband is the largest cable operator in the U.S. EarthLink has already nailed a deal with another cable biggie - AOL Time Warner (AOL) - and is in active negotiations with Comcast (CMCSK) and Cox Communications (COX). Earthlink stock up 10% at $10.65. (RS) 11:19 (Dow Jones) It's time for Treasurys to repair last week's damage.
There's not a lot outside of stocks to set the tone right now, and strategists say that yield levels are out of whack with what sort of rate hikes the Fed is likely to deliver later this year. Two-years are the day's best performer, with the yield down 6 BP to 3.50%. (MSD) 11:06 (Dow Jones) AaiPharma (AAII) received antitrust clearance from the Federal Trade Commission for its proposed acquisition of Eli Lilly (LLY) product lines. AaiPharma's NeoSan Pharmaceuticals unit agreed to buy the U.S.
rights to Eli Lilly's Darvon and Darvocet pain products for $211.4 million plus other considerations. The purchase price is subject to potential reductions based on initial sales performance. (BS) 10:56 (Dow Jones) Early options-market snapshot: the stock selloff early Tuesday hasn't rankled the options market much, although defensive put trading is on the rise. At the CBOE, the equity put/call ratio after the first hour is at 0.61, compared with 0.48 Monday and readings no higher than 0.57 since this month began. The put/call ratio for index options is hardly high at 1.20, but is up from Monday's low 0.90. (KT) 10:49 (Dow Jones) The weakness that afflicted stocks right at the open is firmly in place. Would you be surprised to hear that the communications technology sector is the worst acting group out there? No, probably not. Some of the downtrodden in that space include Lucent, JDS, Comverse, Corning, and Sonus. Home builders, gold, and pollution control look good, and the overall action, while weak, looked like it may be uglier earlier. DJIA off 61 at 10549, Nasdaq Comp drops 37 to 1892, and S&P 500 dips 10 to 1158. (TG) 10:35 (Dow Jones) SatCon Technology (SATC) entered a strategic collaboration agreement with the Chevron Energy Solutions unit of ChevronTexaco (CVX). Under the agreement, SatCon and Chevron Energy Solutions will work to test in-plant power quality or power generation concepts. The agreement provides that Chevron Energy Solutions may execute a supplier agreement to market SatCon's static and rotary uninterrupted power supply products and otherproducts. SATC up 2.6% to $4.10. (TAG) 10:28 (Dow Jones) "As far as scheduled data releases are concerned, March is unlikely to bring relief to the beleaguered Treasury bond market," says Goldman Sach's Jan Hatzius. "The calendar is likely to feature accelerating production growth, still-strong final demand, and rising prices, at least on a headline basis." (JCC) 10:21 (Dow Jones) Itron (ITRI) restated financial statements of six past quarters because of changes in its accounting for certain outsourcing contracts. The company said that in February it determined it should have adopted service contract accounting for certain outsourcing contracts where it retains title to the related equipment. It changed its method of accounting for these contracts from the percentage of completion method to service contract accounting. Shares off 8% at $25.20. (DL) 10:07 (Dow Jones) The economic recovery has encouraged J.P. Morgan to upgrade Black & Decker (BDK) to buy from long-term buy. "The strength and breadth of the economic recovery allays our concerns over the company's exposure to certain industrial markets, and in fact, adds upside to our expectations in all of BDK's end-markets." The firm adds that BDK's valuation (16 times JP Morgan's 2002 EPS estimate) is nearly 20% below its peer group average. BDK up 3.3% at $47.88. (GS) 9:59 (Dow Jones) After meeting with Merrill's (MER) management, Pru says the company's new approach to managing its business is much more scientific and lasting than the firm is getting credit for. Merrill didn't just lay off a lot of people, but instead is establishing a new profitability-vs.-market-share culture in the firm. Management seemed more upbeat about the revenue outlook for the second half, and a greater emphasis on forex, equity derivatives, and private equity could provide even more lift. Pru keeps buy rating, $64 target.
MER off 1.7% at $53.10. (TG) 9:51 (Dow Jones) New violence in Mideast is helping the dollar, traderssay.
EUR/USD is $0.8712; USD/JPY is Y129.05; EUR/JPY is Y112.44. (JRH) 9:46 (Dow Jones) Fed funds futures prices rising in tandem with Treasury prices. "It's because accounting procedures are being looked at" and that is impacting stocks, pit trader says. Where the May contract looked for about a 77% chance of a 25-basis-point tightening at Monday's close, they now look for a 67% chance of a quarter-point tightening by the May meeting, trader says.
(CMN) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-12-02 12:27 PM |