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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (22273)	3/26/2002 3:37:01 PM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

A Yahoo! news story linked here supposedly detailed the purchase of lots of aviation fuel by the military. The link is gone, and I haven't tried to retrieve the article Warren's article is scary, particularly as it makes a very important point, namely that under "normal" circumstances the pounding that Arafat took in the last few weeks would be enough to make him cower, if only temporarily. What do you think of Warren's apocalyptic views?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (22273)	3/26/2002 6:04:47 PM
From: Dayuhan	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 281500

You haven't read about these movements because they aren't happening. When they do, they will be reported. We're talking about a force of at least 250,000, with a large armor component, the largest deployment since Desert Storm. Armored divisions don't move by air, and they don't sneak into town in the dead of night. When the move starts it will take weeks, and we will all know about it. The deployment cannot begin until the basing issue is ironed out. You can't move an army if you have no place to move it to. I would assume that the scenario will be similar to that of Desert Storm, with air forces initiating the attack and sustaining it during the time it takes to build up ground forces. Even that will be preceded by deployment of carriers and air units, which will be reported. The deployment will have to be very considerable. One of the larger problems confronting US planners will be the location and status of the remaining Taleban troops in Afghanistan. It is entirely possible that these units are lying low, many in neighboring countries, and biding their time until some US forces and their air cover are called off to Iraq. This would be their cue to re-infiltrate and step up the pressure, forcing a two-front war.

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (22273)	3/28/2002 11:22:45 AM
From: Win Smith	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

There may be a good reason you didn't read any other press reports on that one, Nadine. Would the c-14s Debka reports on, in its usual credible and reliable fashion, happen to be ferrying Chinese Muslim troops that didn't quite make it to Afghanistan into Israel now to fight the next war? It would take quite a few flights by that particular aircraft to make much of a difference, I would guess. wpafb.af.mil SPECIFICATIONS Span: 59 ft. 0 in. Length: 43 ft. 3 in. Height: 12 ft. 10 in. Weight: 7,200 lbs. maximum gross wt. Cargo/Passenger Capacity: 6 passengers (approximately 1,650 lbs.) Engine: Wright R-1750-13 of 525 hp. Crew: One - pilot