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To: Art Bechhoefer who wrote (116105)	3/27/2002 10:15:56 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

I will dispute your incorrect data on photo silver use and the causes in 1970's leading to gold rise but tomorrow, when I can spare time at office with a few links to read, if you wish to read them anti-silver folks have used the same argument for five years each year, photo silver use rises 4-5% demand is far outstripping recovery recycling efforts the only way photo silver drops off is if they find substitute to silver components in film and development silver halide might get replaced eventually for film but I think it will lead to poor results digital photo is statistically insignificant in the silver growth sales series, according to stat analysis of data finding silver substitutes for any and all of its myriad applications have proved to be a vexing and consistently unsuccessful endeavor over the ages you should know that did you know that 100% of China's silver imports are for photography? did you know that the largest user of silver in the world is China? they dont use digital photos do you really think people will buy a $1000 PC, a $600 digital camera, and settle for shitty prints? let's all sit around the PC and look at the photos from my trip to Australia no way, Artful Dodger instead of a throwaway camera for $10 and film for $7 and development for $8? naive, man I dont think you understand the conditions that led to gold's meteoric rise in 1980 any more than you do now I have tried to explain how similar the conditions are but it apparently isnt sinking in but I will try again, because somebody else might get it those conditions are repeating right now under your nose it has to do with negative real interest rates and imminent damage to creditors in the bond market do you ever follow the bond market? I do understand the value of genius product inventions but that genius produces outstanding products, whose companies often are trumped by macroeconomic conditions conditions that are marred by irresponsible govt leadership like now I believe you will be swimming against a large tide soon a tide that moves beautiful ships and junk yachts alike with little discrimination when was the last sea change you spotted beforehand? / jim

To: Art Bechhoefer who wrote (116105)	3/27/2002 11:56:37 PM
From: marginmike	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 152472

Frankly, investing in gold is of interest only to those who don't recognize the value of genius to invent new products." Give me a break, Art The fact is inventing new stuff is not the issue, during the 1920's the inovations were way more substantial. Telephones, Auto's, Airplanes. The advancement in the late 1800's and early 1900's make todays Internet age look tepid in comparison. The issue then and now is VALUATION, and INVESTING vs SPECULATING. Inventing new products wont help your portfolio if valuations contract. This is an investement forum, therfore GOLD is a valid issue. Frankly I am sick of every techno geek insisting Gold is a relic as SA, Japenese and ME'ners are buying it in panic mode to safe guard their wealth. Discusing or investing a % of ones portfolio's in gold is not only prudent but profitable.