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To: Lazarus_Long who wrote (6127)	3/31/2002 7:56:07 PM
From: Lane3	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21057

It could explode into war at any time. And we could get dragged into it. I gave up my daily background of TV news the other day. I can't stand it when they spend all their time in the ME. It's like watching reruns. Anyway, I did surf through some news a couple of hours ago and they were talking about sending in some US peacekeepers. I clicked again real fast. Mr. Market won't like that.

To: Lazarus_Long who wrote (6127)	3/31/2002 10:51:57 PM
From: Dayuhan	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21057

we could get dragged into it. We already have lots of troops in the Muslim world. I don't see that happening, certainly not in any combat role. The IDF has more than enough assets to deal with any plausible military scenario. I also don't think any of the Arab states would be likely to risk a military assault, knowing that they would probably get hammered. They'd rather let the Palestinians do the dying. This flareup might force us to delay plans for a move against Iraq, but that's not such a terrible thing. If it delays long enough for somebody in Washington to come up with a viable endgame plan for an Iraq operation, it might be a very good thing. There's been some very strange talk about this situation. I've seen talk of "installing" a democracy, as if it were a light bulb, or a spare tire. The naivete you encounter in some quarters is startling. A peacekeeping deployment is possible, but I think it would be a very bad idea. The US is perceived as pro-Israel, and a US presence would be more likely to inflame violence than to keep peace. Better to let the Europeans deal with that. I've thought for years that the UN should hire a few regiments of Gurkhas and keep them on the payroll for this sort of thing.