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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (5602)4/23/2002 1:01:13 PM
From: Arik T.G.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5676
 
Look here

bigcharts.marketwatch.com
What I see is a giant ED from the 1998 low
Can you come up with a different interpretation to this chart?

Now the count of the ED
bigcharts.marketwatch.com

An abc 1 from the 1998 low to the 1999 high
An abc 2 from the 1999 high to the 2000 low
An abc 3 from the 2000 low to the 12/2000 marginal higher high
An abc 4 from the 2000 high to the 2001 low
An abc 5 from the 2001 low till now
bigcharts.marketwatch.com
A of 5 From Sep 2001 to Jan 2002
B to the Feb low
C in the making already had one leg up and a correction, so one or two more pushes up to a new marginal high and the Kiss Of Death (Bart Simpson comes to mind).

Target?
Look at the bigger scale chart again- IMO something between 400-450 will mark the bottom of the 1st giant leg down.
A 60% crash in the BKX IMO will cause almost a similar drop in the S&P.

Game plan
Short the banks, SPX and buy OOM OEX puts 6 months out (even better - NYA puts) as soon as the BKX makes a new all time high.

ATG