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To: Mark Adams who wrote (161001)4/19/2002 3:09:42 PM
From: S. maltophilia  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
OTOH, the increased productivity of these resource exporting nations may help their currencies vs, the U.S. dollar (maybe, someday<g>), leading to dollar inflation.
And at the same time, more and more meaningful economic activity continues to be outsourced to places where the equivalent of $1/hour is considered a good wage. I look for the U.S. wage structure to implode, at least in "real" terms, if not in nominal dollars.



To: Mark Adams who wrote (161001)4/19/2002 3:27:41 PM
From: Joan Osland Graffius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Mark,

I am also working from the seat of the pants commentary. <ggg>

What I was thinking about was the metals where the least expensive production reserves have been mined and the prices must go up to make the current reserves profitable. You are correct coffee has been interesting, but the coffee produced by Vietnam and Central America is crap - I like good coffee and buy mine from Hawaii - which is not cheap. <ggg>

Happen to be in the camp that think the US dollar is in a bubble and has been hiding inflation. I have been thinking this for over 3 years and have been dead wrong. <g>

If Russia and China can deliver the base metals at a lower price this would cause price stability or go lower in price.

Joan



To: Mark Adams who wrote (161001)4/19/2002 4:01:06 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
>>This doesn't require quantum improvements potentially possible with nanotech or bio-engineering that may occur.
<<

What is a quantum? that word has been so abused --

Re nano-tech -- Honestly, there are some scientists that laugh at this being a category of its own. It is 99% hype and word play. If I could still get into the SA website I'd link a very good editorial about this ...

I'll see if it is a part of the public access part.

What Marc Faber found was something that probably only goes back the last 5 - 10 years.