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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jill who wrote (50359)	4/22/2002 1:40:59 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

the big underlying tide is now the USdollar this topic is one giant incredible sad YAWN for most investors the accumulation has been worldwide with USdollars since 1990 next is the distribution phase but it is coming off its peak now and mildly breaking down versus almost all major currencies I outlined a couple nice links on QCOM thread USdollar futures contract chart USdollar chart comparison versus major currencies excellent reading check it out Message 17351040 the USdollar is way overdue for a correction I believe it has begun Roache believes it will be at least 10% versus Euro with $2500 billion in USTBonds held by foreigners and $300-400 B/yr in trade debt annually this is shaping up to be the major issue with both the economy and the financial markets it affects trade, economy, stocks, bonds mostly stock market imho the US$ correction will import the inflation that we have exported since 1990 I expect the correction to usher in the next recession and perhaps a currency crisis / jim