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Pastimes : MELT-UP or MELT-DOWN: Cast your Vote -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: J.T. who wrote (1)	4/27/2002 2:26:35 AM
From: J.T.	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 361

Higher. For above reasons noted. Best regards, J.T.

To: J.T. who wrote (1)	4/27/2002 7:52:52 AM
From: High-Tech East	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 361

... higher ... definitely ... ... although I am very curious about SI sentiment for 10/31/2002 ... which will have a much larger influence on our sense of wealth in the short run ... ... as for now, I would say higher for 05/31/02 ... ... and lower for 10/31/02 ... Ken Wilson

To: J.T. who wrote (1)	4/27/2002 2:37:34 PM
From: High-Tech East	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 361

... this new temporary thread was a great idea ... congratulations ... Ken Wilson

To: J.T. who wrote (1)	4/27/2002 4:34:29 PM
From: marginmike	Respond to of 361

I would like to add 1)COT shorting heavilly 2)OEX breaking longterm suport 3)Bond yields not going up 4)spreads not closing 5)Bill gross feels a huge wave of defaults is coming in 6 months 6)Argintina contacion will infect others 7)War with Iraq will stifle consumer as it did ni 90-91 8)Any increase in Rates will suficate any recovery by encoumbering our govt, Consumers and Corporations. As a caveat To my lower prediction I would like to say that I Believe we have yet to test or form a real bottom, thus this market at some point will close at lower levels then where it is now, In my opinion at least 10-20% lower. Once we hit those levels we will retrace 20-30% and build a trading range. Ie if we crash tomorrow we could concievably recover by october and be up marginally. I dont think we will see naz 2200 or higher for many years, but after the final washout and basing period the seeds of the next bull will be planted, as in 1932 it will be a great buying opp for a generation. However there is still much pain to endure.