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To: Tommaso who wrote (162865)	4/29/2002 4:56:39 PM
From: Tommaso	Respond to of 436258

This is the best I can do at overlaying the VIX and the other indexes. I can see how it got a reputation as an indicator, since it worked very well in seeming to predict the later stages of the bubble (as well as the recovery from the 1987 crash earlier). It seems to get less reliable after 2000, coinciding with temporary respites from a general bearish trend. Note especially the last quarter of 2000, which might well have been interpreted a the building of a pretty solid bottom using the VIX.

To: Tommaso who wrote (162865)	4/29/2002 5:14:26 PM
From: sammaster	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

i agree that vix may not always signal a "true" bottom but may indicate a short-term bottom... i was just saying that i would not even consider covering my shorts until vix spikes