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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (11420)5/8/2002 5:54:34 PM
From: techanalyst1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684
 
Scott, vxn has been overbought for a couple of days. The indexes and stocks have been oversold too. I think I wrote that a couple times. Shorts always overstay their welcome.... why I have no idea. For most stocks, shorting is a trade, so why they don't cover when stocks are down big is beyond me.

What I see: the stocks that were up big today were either very oversold (almost everything is in that category) or were the ones that held up the best and the ones with high short positions.

I still don't think we'll break out to new highs and I still think that some stocks are going to see lower lows.

To go higher we need followup buying and we need the sellers to quit selling into rallies. Who knows for sure if we'll get that? Not me... but it sure is nice to see my techs up so nicely today.

TA



To: stockman_scott who wrote (11420)5/8/2002 7:05:57 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57684
 
thanks for that... I was waiting for the rationalization from somebody as to why the vix wasn't working... oh yeah - we're using it wrong!! <gg>

Sorry for the sarcasm but if the vix only measures fear... well then what happens when there is no fear? Not every bear market is precluded by a war. 1994 was a bad year for techs, for example but the downside was not fear driven.
L