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Strategies & Market Trends : Disciplined Investing, especially the NAIC way -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Philosopher who wrote (328)5/10/2002 4:15:34 PM
From: - with a K  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 469
 
Yes, it's not a classic NAIC stock. In fact, I said the SSG looks like teenage vomit in a mosh pit when I posted my notes in a value thread here. (I mistakenly thought I had posted it on the NAIC thread, but now you know why I didn't!)

Sorry for not making that clear up front. In the value thread I also said about PRX:

* (February 20, 2002) PRX got whacked 36% today because they announced a competitor got FDA approval for their weight gain drug for which PRX had a head start. (Bristol-Meyers makes the propriety drug that PRX first copied; now another generic is in the game.)

My thesis for buying:

* severe market overreaction (Even though the PRX generic accounted for up 25% of their business, they lost 36% of stock value in one day.

* Seems like a great value at this price. Recent fundamentals are good.

* It bounced off it's low and has shown some strength in a choppy market (well, at least until recently!)

* With all the bad news from Bristol-Myers, Merck, Elan, and Watson, this is a contrarian play when things look bleakest for drug companies.

* Fell dramatically below its 200 DMA and (should?) pull back up to around $25-28

BUT: Not a steady-eddy kind of company. Ugly chart. Lost money 1997-00; current liabilities are rising steadily.