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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: frankw1900 who wrote (4403)	5/15/2002 2:31:24 PM
From: Bill Grant	Respond to of 24758

>>I don't think that's working, either with the Cubans or anyone else.<< Except maybe Jimmy <g>.

To: frankw1900 who wrote (4403)	5/15/2002 2:33:53 PM
From: ahhaha	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 24758

There are many in Cuba who have to believe the communist nonsense. They've sacrificed their lives for it, so they have the past and their image of themselves, which is very important for the Cuban, to preserve. Also, you're extrapolating what the average Cuban may prefer when it is the powers that be underneath Castro who need to preserve their position within the hierarchy by retaining the communist structure. If Castro undermines the power base of the upper bureaucracy, he will have to go. Castro is letting Carter open up the possibility that the power base can radically change. This isn't the same situation found in Soviet Union where the apparatchiks simply walked over to the other side of the street to a new office labelled "Russian Federation". Russians never revered Gorbachov the way Cubans revere Castro, but the people may turn on Castro because he's selling out their sacrifice. Al Quaeda doesn't need constituency. They can act as mercenaries. Assassinating Castro causes upheaval. The powers under Castro might elect to engage assassins and then use them to protect the revolution. Al Quaeda gets a base from which to operate against the Great Sataan.