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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carranza2 who wrote (31004)	5/28/2002 7:18:31 PM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

Hi carranza2; Re: "Serious damage to Saddam's military machine without huge corresponding civilian casualties will cause a lot of internal problems for Saddam." I agree that the above statement is true, but you're avoiding the real issue. The threat to US troops is not necessarily from "Saddam's military machine" in terms of tanks and the like. The problem is guerilla warfare. Look at how bogged down the Israelis are in Palestine. That's only 6 million Palestinians that they're dealing with, do you know how big Iraq's population is? In addition, the Israelis have experience on the ground, excellent intelligence and a population that is difficult to distinguish ethnically from their enemy. We, on the other hand, have no experience in Baghdad, have little useful or reliable intelligence (if we did, then how come Saddam is still around), and on average, our skins stick out like bastards at the family reunion in the Middle East. And, the Israelis are fighting for their country with zero logistical lines, while we'd be only fighting for the safety of places that most Americans can't find on a map, or name the capital city of, and that can only be reached by passing over territories peopled by Moslems more or less unfriendly to us. Of course the professional military is saying "no go". The Iraq attack is so not going to happen. Hitler was a jerk and despite this the German people didn't exactly welcome the US as liberators. Neither will Saddam's people welcome us as liberators. The Afghans (largely) welcomed us because they felt that Al Qaeda was a foreign force, and that we were helping them get the foreigners out of their country. -- Carl