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To: GST who wrote (143105)6/18/2002 1:21:31 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
I have enough confidence in my foresight that they'll not all be duds. That's what motivates me. They haven't been.

A few AOL, Yahoo, Amazon, Netscape, Siebel, eBay and Brocades (all of which I have made sizeable returns from) more than make up for scores of losers. The key is getting in early and having proceeds to lose!

On more thing I have learned from this is that being too early can be just as costly as being too late, because unless the company's business becomes established within the current cycle then it falls by the wayside when nobody wants to own even blue chip growth.

I made so much money in 1996-1999 that I thought it'd be ok to spread it out across names like Celera, Superconductor Technologies, Akamai, Sonus, etc, who's ramps were beyond the then-current cycle. That was very costly.