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Strategies & Market Trends : Ultra OTC Fund - UOPIX -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John who wrote (2005)7/2/2002 5:41:09 PM
From: tsigprofit  Respond to of 2063
 
John, I bought some more UOPIX today.
I feel we will see a bottom in the 1100-1300 area.
VIX is getting higher now also.

Have to be careful here, but I have this in an
IRA - and can hold 1-3 years if necessary.

Regards,
Matt



To: John who wrote (2005)7/3/2002 1:28:17 PM
From: OldAIMGuy  Respond to of 2063
 
Hi John, I talked about it in my most recent newsletter. Here's the address:

aim-users.com

You can also see the graph of the IW for this week.

We're getting closer, but not there yet.

Best regards, Tom
87°F and breezy.
Showers or Tstorms expected later
touchtmj4.com



To: John who wrote (2005)7/25/2002 12:00:35 PM
From: OldAIMGuy  Respond to of 2063
 
Hi John, Well, the Idiot Wave has finally sunk into the Low Risk range on the raw data. We're still about 3 points high on the smoothed line, however. I don't see anything at this point in the current week's statistics that should drive it up so chances are we'll be low risk overall next week.

If so, I plan on implementing my strategy of switching from the relative safety of the long term bond fund (ACG) back to UOPIX. I'll not be moving all the money, but half will be committed to UOPIX and AIMed with a 33% cash reserve to start.

Low risk events on the IW usually are followed by broad market rallies of about 15% to 25%. So, UOPIX should benefit from such a period. Also, low risk events usually are followed on relatively quickly by a knee jerk blast back to high risk (at which time I'll bail out of the remaining UOPIX position and go back to ACG).

If the market were to settle out in the average risk range, I'll eventually switch to QQQ and AIM it.

Here's the latest report and graph of the IW:
aim-users.com

Best regards, Tom



To: John who wrote (2005)7/30/2002 12:37:02 PM
From: OldAIMGuy  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 2063
 
Hi John, Well, the work is done as of today's close. Sold 2300 shares of the ACG bond fund at $7.97 (modest capital gain of $7.70 to $7.97) after collecting about $1200 in dividends on that money for the last 6 months.

The proceeds, $18,312, is being divided 70/30 between UOPIX and a money market fund. I'll use AIM now to handle UOPIX until the next time we see a High Risk event on the Idiot Wave.
aim-users.com
At that time I'll exit UOPIX completely and move those $$$ back to the ACG bond fund. My guess is that we'll see a high risk event within 3 to 6 months.

We'll continue this process as often as the market cycles between low and high risk. Should it settle out for an extended period in the average risk range, I'll be changing the account over to QQQ and AIMing it.

Best regards, Tom
Clear, 54% RH, 83°F (on its way to 90°)