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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (51893)7/7/2002 9:54:22 AM
From: Seeker of Truth  Respond to of 54805
 
In the last year, according to Yahoo, INTC has made 25 cents a share. Let's assume that in 2 years that will double to 50 cents a share and after that everything will be back to normal, with an annual growth rate of 15%.
That means that ten years from now the earnings will be $1.53 a share. Then assuming a P/E of 20, the stock price will be 30.60. Buying at 17 gives us a below normal growth of capital. If the main frame really dies and INTC chips are used at all levels of computing, the growth rate should be faster than 15%. If they do well in communication circuits, again the grow rate should be faster than 15%. It's just plain impossible to predict. The conclusion? The stock is a speculation at current prices.



To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (51893)7/7/2002 3:20:09 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Thomas,

>I just don't see how one comes up with a number like
>this other than pulling it out of the air.

And I don't see how one can claim that perhaps
G&Ks are cheap to buy here without using ANY
numbers at all.

Jurgis - wasn't that the reason which got G&K investors into this mess?