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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (15690)7/12/2002 8:38:35 PM
From: inchingup  Respond to of 36161
 
Slidee -- Two problems

--Q3 earnings are reported--

I think that earnings will be reported mostly by companies that have less than a $1.2 billion market cap. (vbg)

--the PPT will then "gun" the futures during his testimony triggering a major rally imho--

Max pain for the QQQ's is right around $25*** as of today with 5 days to expiration. QQQ's closed at $24.80 today. They can't pay off everyone, if ya get my drift.

***No URL. Ttaken from Zeev board. I trust their numbers much better than those fed to me by the FED.



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (15690)7/12/2002 8:51:20 PM
From: t4texas  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
paul mcculley of pimco was talking about greenspin's meeting with congress this coming tuesday on tv earlier this week. he said greenspin should tell congress he is going to hold short term rates here no matter what. so i took that to mean that greenspan would try to goose the markets with that kind of talk. that is what mcculley wants him to do. mcculley is worried about deflation at this moment.



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (15690)7/12/2002 9:03:54 PM
From: nspolar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
Slider, were on the same strategy, just due to a small difference in taste, we're on just a slightly different course.

When I read your posts and think a little about what you are doing, assuming you are doing what you say you are (and I believe you are), I conclude what you are really doing is managing the risk/reward opportunities being presented by the market, AND taking advantage of those.

It is important to properly evaluate and stay on the right side of the risk/reward equation, at all times. If no reward you don't play. If the risk too high you don't play. Those are the primary limits. Everything in between is subject to personal choice and preference, but obviously some situations are preferred. The mother lode is always the low risk/high reward. When these come along you want to truly take advantage of those, with a large percentage of what you have available.

In addition to the risk/reward of individual equities one at times needs to expand and apply the same principals on a broader scale, about their whole portfolio. For example being short certain equities at this point in time has little downside risk, and good upside if the market truly tanks. Being long others may have limited downside if the market tanks, but good upside if there is rebound. Not knowing for sure which way things are going to go, as may be the case at the moment; viola - prepare for both, with stops for either case. At other points in time it is just as obvious to be overweight for a particular situation.

Just my $.02.



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (15690)7/15/2002 12:13:23 PM
From: Jon Cave  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
Slider, have you bought XOM yet.

I remember you saying you would be interested in the low 30's. XOM now trading below $35 a share below the Sept lows. This is one money making dude, especially with oil above $27/bbl.