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Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Art Bechhoefer who wrote (22159)7/17/2002 3:39:47 PM
From: Andre Williamson  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60323
 
Art -

I generally agree with you. And I've never gone short anything. (however, as a hedge I think it a valid strategy in some circumstances). But in this case, things just don't seem right.

Lexar jumped from $3 to $5 based on an ON24 piece that said nothing but "this is a good example of a valid 'low price' purchase." At this point, if you exclude cash, LEXAR is starting to approach SNDK's valuation!

Looks like an arbitrage opportunity to me. I'm not going to short it because as you say, there are lots of variables here. However, shorting LEXAR at $5 appears more logical to me than going long SNDK above $50, which I did...repeatedly.

As for the $10 rule, I think it's lost quite a bit of its value because so many stocks were issued, got financing, or split during the bubble. A good example is PALM, which at $1.50 sports quite a hefty market cap. If all you look at is the stock price, you'd think it was crap rather than a market leader with over a billion in revenues that has maintained its OS share against Microsoft for years.

Andre



To: Art Bechhoefer who wrote (22159)7/18/2002 6:59:57 AM
From: Ausdauer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 60323
 
Art, one point that shocked me during the conference call was the...

...geographic distribution of sales this quarter.

*** 28% Europe
*** 17% Japan
*** 11% other international (non-US)

That means that 56% of product was sold outside the USA!!!

This could be favorably impacted by $USD exchange rates against the Yen and Euro.
This also indicates the breadth of the SanDisk sales reach.

Aus