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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Psycho-Social who wrote (98300)8/6/2002 12:59:55 AM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Did they invent a reason to invest? You have to add why they invested. I think demographics played a part what in what happen, but in reality it was more a technological driven market. It was a coming together of not only demographics, but the desk top PC, then the client server model which ushered in the spread of networks, only to reach a zenith in the Internet.

The ease of access to the market and the speed of information flow only added to a generation's, that was primed by a collective child hood from watching TV, ability to move in the same direction. They followed a trend, like they have been doing from silly putty, to hoolahoops, to brie, only to take that trend to excess, like they have done so many times before.

I find it hard to believe that a generation that has been exposed to so much technology from child birth on, will now revert back to invest like the parents had. Furthermore, you can't discount the generation that has been spawn. The most technological savvy generation there is, lays in waiting, generation D, as in digital. They will embrace whatever comes about sooner, and faster then the parents have.

What will cause the market to come alive again will be a technological sea change as the PC was, not a new generation of investors. In sum, your conclusion might be right, but the reason for it is wrong. Frankly 15 years is way too long a time frame. You would have to accept that nothing new will come about to revive the market during that time period. I can't see that happening.

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