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To: JRI who wrote (49121)8/5/2002 4:12:03 PM
From: Paul Shread  Respond to of 209892
 
The VIX seems to form ranges that last for years. In the teens in the early 90s for example (the 1994 correction never saw a VIX reading above 20, I believe). This one seems to be a higher-volatility period with the VIX capped at 60.

The 80s were generally a period of low volatility with the exception of the 1987 crash - when the VIX went from 36 to 170 or so in a single day.

So in general the VIX is a range-bound indicator - but look out for that one outlier.



To: JRI who wrote (49121)8/5/2002 4:16:15 PM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
Many time counts, trading day and calendar day counts are targetting 2003 as the period which should mark "the low".

I could see that happening...as we find some sort of bottom into a bigg trading range for years to come. gotta take it day by day tho

Be thankful you get to cut your chops in the toughest market in history<ng>, and you have another revenue stream<g>.

Objective traders who survive this ordeal should have some keen skills indeed going forward...that should return some rich dividends.

as for the stock options issues...i don't even want to get started<ng>