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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jcky who wrote (37443)8/13/2002 8:01:09 AM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
But you are presuming Saddam is just going to line up his troops and tanks like bowling pins in open desert country and get blown to bits.

Pretty much what he did last time, isn't it??

There isn't a great deal of cover in Iraq. Sure they dig in, but generally such bunkers leave tell-tale IR signatures.

As for Urban Warfare, why enter Baghdad?? Those folks have to eat, right? And by the time we've gotten that far, we'll be quite able to find plenty of Iraqi troops MORE THAN WILLING to take up arms against Saddam in order to garner favor with the post-Saddam government.

But the problem is that we have this "toe in the bathwater" mentality with regard to dealing with rogue states. We're constantly testing the waters, making committments to potential opposition groups, and then breaking them. Let's face it, there's not a great deal of trust for US Foreign Policy since it's so prone to leaving allies flailing in the wind.

That's why the Kurds may remain neutral until it's plainly clear we're serious. And it's quite likely why Kuwait and other regimes, who would like to see Saddam overthrown, have not quite lined up behind us. They are vulnerable to the repercussions of a half-hearted, or failed US policy.

But begin to irrefutably exercise our will and you'll likely see nations fall into line as they sense US determination to follow through.

Hawk