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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bilow who wrote (37455)	8/13/2002 2:27:18 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 281500

Debka said that China was going to invade Afghanistan, and that Saudi Arabia had massed troops on the Jordanian border (implying that Saudi Arabia was going to invade Jordan). These were simple Israeli fantasies. The first was a prediction that didn't materialize, not reporting. If the second report was a fantasy, then it was a fantasy shared by Stratfor, who also reported Saudi divisions near the Jordanian border. Neither source said anything about an invasion. Debka reported the Saudis only had about 10,000 men on the border, if memory serves. You don't invade anything with so few men; it was just a show of force. I repeat for the umpteenth time, in my opinion Debka's reports generally pan out. Their predictions are much more hit and miss. But I've read the recent transcripts from Rumsfeld at the DoD web site, and I think that there is no significant military operations going on in Iraq. If Baghdad falls to Special Forces ops, are you going to say that doesn't count? Wait and see. -g-

To: Bilow who wrote (37455)	8/13/2002 7:25:21 AM
From: Ilaine	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

If there's going to be big operations in Iraq (not piddly covert stuff that's been already going on for most of a decade), it will have to show up in the mobilization figures. Unless the troops were already mobilized and we just assumed they were going to Afghanistan.