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To: Lazarus_Long who wrote (19339)	8/14/2002 7:18:24 PM
From: Ish	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21057

If they cut off the oil they start starving. <<In spite of that, that's precisely what they did in 1973. And starving is likely to be an overstatement. Life could get considerably rougher for them, but their leaders can blame that on us and call on the people to sacrifice for the greater glory of Allah. That could be less of a problem than you think. If dictators don't have an enemy, they often invent one. Here we're kind enough to suplly them with a real one. >> In '73 they were the big dogs in oil. Now they have competetors.

To: Lazarus_Long who wrote (19339)	8/14/2002 8:53:28 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 21057

Seems to me like that is quite enough. Guerilla warfare kept us tied down in Vietnam for 20 years. Thats why I said it could be a big mess, but just mentioned that I disagreed with the specific scenario. If they cut off the oil they start starving. In spite of that, that's precisely what they did in 1973. Anyone remember exactly how long and how total the embargo was? They are more dependent on selling the oil then we are on buying it, but then a guy holding a grenade can still make threats even if setting if off will kill him too... Tim