Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : P&S and STO Death Blow's -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (5199)	8/15/2002 9:43:01 PM
From: lisalisalisa	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 30712

exactly IMO.... I trust the saying that goes.. "the public is right during the trend and wrong at both ends"... or something like that..unless you think this is the end of the bear... maybe though if one could come up with some extreme outflow measures they might signal short term bounces. But I believe bull market contrarian signals can be faded as long as we are in a bear market...and I believe we are... just passing through..enjoy this thread...

To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (5199)	8/15/2002 9:58:42 PM
From: t2	Respond to of 30712

wasn't there a virtually continuous inflow of funds during the 90s bull? then wouldn't a continuous outflow of funds during this bear be a continuation signal rather than a reversal signal? Agree with that view generally........but the only problem I see with it is that money has continued to flow into Bond funds just like it flowed into stocks back in the late 1990s...and these funds had been gaining as yields dropped. The big inflows into bonds have continued for a long time now...since 2000. That has to be bullish for stocks going forward. We are talking about a lot of money that can suddenly shift...starting with the big institutions...supported by valuations that are generally a lot better now,especially with low interest rates. Apart from this, I agree with your assessment...and may be the Nasdaq starts heading down again...but just don't see it happening near term for the reasons in my last few posts. Going to be an interesting few weeks in stocks. I am long the Nasdaq but not in a big way; looking to sell in the morning and wait for a pullback to consider reloading. jmho.