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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (18373)8/17/2002 5:08:57 PM
From: LemonHead  Respond to of 18928
 
Hi Tom, new Mid-Cap watch list as of 7/31/02.

siliconinvestor.com

Just a few ticker's amongst friends.

Keith



To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (18373)8/18/2002 1:10:00 PM
From: Simon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18928
 
Hi Tom:

I'm not sure what AIM investing is, although I may have forgotten. I have read several books on mkt psychology and have formed my own style. 1. I have 2 sheets of papers I read daily to keep my brain honed to reality. Kind of like a refresher sheet from the "Top Gun School". I have found that watching CNBC clutters the brain to a certain extent. My "preflight" check list snaps me back to reality. This I call "mental preparation".
2. I have found 15/16 chart patterns that occur over and over and are extremely reliable. I have talked to 3 head of technical analysis at large brokerage companies and have been almost tossed out. Except for one who only wanted to talk about his sex life as a NY life guard....GEEEZ.... I have concluded brokerage firms either don't care or make a lot of money being "dishonest". As to charts. Take SI chart of the S&P500. Using a 250 scale of time on a weekly (I think) or a daily basis, look at the pattern developed over 12 months ending in Oct. 2000. It resembles what I call a cow horn pattern. It was a definite signal that the bull market was over. These horns occur over and over. Small horns indicate a smaller retracement, but the 12 month horn of the S&P500 took a year to develope and signaled a bear market. Actually it was the head of a H&S pattern. The head of the Dow was the long extended trading range of the last 2 years(?) take a look. When the market really reacted 6 weeks (?) ago was when the Dow broke through the neck line of the H&S pattern. Next I assume the market will go back up to the neck line and break again. For whatever reason, the break at that point should be a real doozie. On the horizon, a war with Iraq could be the reason????????
After working with chart patterns, I found that a daily review of my "top gun" reality check bring me back into focus and forces me to trade patterns. As far as the Analyst shooting their mouth off. I find that their advice and a buck will buy U a cup of coffee.
Simon