To: terry richardson who wrote (18121 ) 8/31/2002 6:23:48 PM From: jimsioi Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161 Gallemore's trend and momentum indicators - review. Wonder how many follow Jay Gallemore's work to be found at chartingyourfutures.com ?. His web site was ranked 2nd among in the "commodity services" category at one point last year. He does a 'real audio' live update daily and a weekly review. Jay's been in the business a long time. Based on what I can determine from his site and conversation I have had with him, Jay is a broker as well as an innovator in terms of using the net to disseminate at least his views. "His views" over the last several months seem to have become increasingly wishy washy, perhaps its the broker in him, but his two indicators, Trend and Momentum have been helpful to me spotting turns. Heretofore, on a semi regular basis, I've posted a review of the indicators' setup, hopefully helpful to others, over on the Yahoo SSRI and VPI boards, but Yahoo is particularly strange this weekend and too frustrating to combat, so I'll post my thoughts here. Nothing is provided with a guarantee and is only a starting point for others interested. Checking the key commods off Gallemore's service I see the following this week. Gold...trend indicator (TI) continued its turn up and rebounded last week and is rising to the 50 line, but momentum indicator (MI) is still negative. This is less than ideal and suggests the technical situation is not particularly strong. Attaining $316 is key to igniting resumption of a vigorous uptrend. Based on the TI and MI set up, I'd suspect we'll see pull back and further tests of the $310-11 area early next week, getting over $316 will change that view as it would spring the MI and continue the TI's advance. Silver - just plain looks ugly...TI has attempted a turn but MI is still quite negative and Friday's action added to that. Silver clearly is not displaying much in terms of an "inflation hedge character", acting much more like an industrial commodity in a recession. This is most obvious with the CRB index making new recovery highs based on strength mainly in the grains, energy to some extent, and cocoa. The CRB however is reaching up into critical overhead of its own with a TI that is beginning to roll above the 70 area, suggesting a stalling out of the trend and probably retracement unless new leadership comes in. Crude - TI is declining but above 50 and MI is still quite positive....post pennant break out consolidation running its course. With OPEC saying they'll increase production and economies in low gear it's difficult however by reading the headlines to see lots of forward progress from here other than from war talk. Good support exists at $28 and unless broken the trend is still up for the intermediate term. S&P - what it's seemingly all about and around which many a commodity's trend seems to turn - sees declining TI and MI on the daily...negatives.... and what looks like the beginning of a down cycle on the hourly TI with low positive MI, suggesting trouble...If last week's lows at 900 gives way many negatives come into the picture, prospectively impacting gold as a positive, energy stocks as a negative unless commod prices are strong counterbalances. jims101