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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (5697)9/3/2002 10:50:23 PM
From: Mannie  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 89467
 
How is it to be back in Boston, Cornbread?
Still feel like home?

I agree on Cowher, he is the perfect assistant coach.

scott



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (5697)9/4/2002 12:47:10 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
The Fantasy of 'Fair Value'

prudentbear.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (5697)9/4/2002 12:48:24 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Tokyo's Nikkei Hits 19-Year Low

biz.yahoo.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (5697)9/4/2002 5:57:32 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Life in the executive suite is taking a sour turn

BY MATTHEW BENJAMIN
US News and World Report
Money & Business 9/9/02

Risky Business

As chief executive of Pizza Inn, Jeffrey Rogers took home over $1.3 million last year. That doesn't count the generous perks, like a company car and other benefits that came with the corner office. Suddenly, though, after 12 years at the Dallas restaurant chain, Rogers is unemployed. He resigned last month as the company took a $1.9 million charge to offset the cost of an unpaid loan to Rogers, a write-off that erased the firm's quarterly profit.


Fortunes are turning at the other end of the corporate spectrum, too. A smiling Sandy Weill, chairman of Citigroup, graced the July cover of Chief Executive as its CEO of the year. Since then the legendary businessman has been named in a shareholder lawsuit and is reportedly being investigated by New York Attorney General Elliot Spitzer for allegedly pressuring an analyst at Salomon Smith Barney, a Citigroup unit, to upgrade his rating of AT&T Corp., on whose board Weill sits.

Targets. Neither Pizza Inn nor Citigroup executives would comment, but the examples prove loud and clear that it is getting precarious to be an executive in America. The latest evidence: indictments last week against WorldCom's former chief financial officer, Scott Sullivan, and mid-level official Buford Yates for allegedly masterminding the company's $7.2 billion accounting fraud.

After being lionized by investors and the media and showered with money and perks for the past decade, corporate officers and directors are now feeling the heat. It's not just the unprecedented wave of corporate scandals that has chummed the waters–executives are finding themselves held accountable for slumping stock prices and failed merger strategies, as Jean-Marie Messier, the former head of France's Vivendi Universal, recently found out. If the opprobrium of burned investors, suspicious regulators, and opportunistic attorneys were not enough, late-night comedians are taking their shots, too. (Jay Leno: "Whew! It was hot today. It was so hot that you could actually see a CEO shedding his skin.")

"It's become much more taxing and a lot less fun to be an executive or director," says Don Hambrick, a management professor at Penn State's Smeal College of Business.

To many executives, the job may not be worth the hassle without incentives such as company loans or free life insurance (which are now outlawed or may soon be). At least 120 chief executives quit or were pushed out in the past two months, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a Chicago outplacement firm. That's significantly higher than last summer's departures. "They're leaving due to discontent over the increasing government scrutiny and legal hazards of the position," says CEO John Challenger.

Finding replacements is no easy task in the current environment of searching for scapegoats. Several firms, TRW, Dynegy, and J. Crew among them, have struggled this year to replace departed executives. "It's more challenging today than ever before to recruit CEOs to public or private companies," says David Nosal, cohead of Korn/ Ferry International's global recruiting practice.

The same goes for the directors whose job it is to hire new executives. Soon after this spring's tele- vised congressional hearings on Enron, consulting firm McKinsey & Co. surveyed hundreds of corporate directors. Four fifths of them said they felt a real threat of being held personally liable and that the threat had grown over the past year. "The feeling is that while D&O [directors and officers] insurance protected directors' assets in the past, that will not be the case in the future," says Bob Felton, a McKinsey senior partner.

A quarter of the directors surveyed also turned down a new directorship or resigned from an existing one over the past year because of liability concerns. "Everyone is concerned that lawsuits and state regulators have the potential to get out of hand," says Robert Mittelstaedt, a vice dean at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business. He serves on the boards of IS&S Inc., Laboratory Corp. of America, and HIP Foundation.

Indeed, after terrorists, executives and directors may be the prime targets of federal crimebusters nowadays. And though the vast majority of them are law abiding, television images of executives being led away in handcuffs are unnerving to those in the executive suites. The Securities and Exchange Commission, which kept a low profile during the first year of Chairman Harvey Pitt's tenure, is now firing on all cylinders. By the end of July, it had filed 130 financial fraud cases, 16 percent more than last year and 44 percent more than five years ago. The understaffed SEC has also sought to bar more than 70 individuals from serving as directors or officers, nearly double the number from 2000. And last month, the SEC made executives swear to the truth of their companies' financial results.

Meanwhile, ambitious state law enforcement officials are not content to let the feds have all the fun. New York's Spitzer has garnered the national spotlight by targeting fraud and conflicts of interest on Wall Street and in corporate America. Other crusading attorneys general, from Connecticut's Richard Blumenthal to California's Bill Lockyer, are right behind him, backed up by millions of angry voters who happen to be shareholders, too.

Private law firms are just as aggressive. After a lull following a 1995 law that sought to curb them, shareholder lawsuits, like the one filed against Citigroup's Weill and Salomon, are back with a vengeance. Some 488 such suits were filed last year, an all-time high. A dozen resulted in breathtak-ing settlements that exceeded $100 million.

As a result of the 1995 law, large institutional investors like state pension funds are frequently the suits' lead plaintiffs. And unfortunately for board members and executives, "institutional investors are more in a position to insist that individuals pay," says Bill Lerach, the country's best-known shareholder plaintiffs' lawyer.

In the most egregious corporate fraud cases, where executives have profited at the expense of shareholders, some funds plan to demand that executives or directors personally feel pain. "If they're not going to contribute personally, we would be inclined not to settle" a suit, says Keith Johnson, chief legal counsel to the Wisconsin Investment Board, the nation's 10th-largest public pension fund.

Money managers like Ralph Whitworth are also taking the initiative against errant executives. Relational Investors, the San Diego-based fund Whitworth runs, holds 7 million Tyco shares and plans to wage a proxy fight to purge that company's board of all directors who served during the era of Dennis Kozlowski. He's the former Tyco CEO who for years allegedly lived like a sultan on company money, using it to pay for lavish vacation villas and extravagant personal expenses. "It was on [the board's] watch that these shenanigans took place," says Whitworth, "and we want to hold them accountable." A similar campaign earlier this year by the AFL-CIO went further, succeeding in getting former Enron board members to resign from most of the other boards on which they served.

Under the gun. Meanwhile, directors at companies with no shred of scandal are finding the work tough going. "Board meetings are taking longer, committee meetings are taking longer–it is a much harder job," says Julie Daum, managing director of U.S. board services practice for executive recruiters Spencer Stuart.

Those who are willing to put in the hours still must face a new level of scrutiny. Frank Renaud, head of the white-collar division at private investigators Beau Dietl & Associates, does intensive background checks on directors, officers, and other potential employees for corporations, and business is booming. "There's more interest in making sure the people they hire are who they say they are," says Renaud, who checks for criminal records, affiliations with other companies, and fraud or harassment allegations–anything that could come back to haunt a company later.

Even the corporate icons of the 1990s are finding themselves on a short leash. The entertainment industry is suddenly rife with questions about the job security of Michael Eisner, now in his 19th year as CEO of Walt Disney. Eisner rehabilitated the company but hasn't been able to boost the sagging stock in recent years, and now Disney is exploring the sell-off of its sports teams, baseball's Anaheim Angels and hockey's Mighty Ducks. And Carly Fiorina, once heralded as Hewlett-Packard's savior, is facing criticism that she wasted too much time and effort on acquiring Compaq Computer. Some academics, such as Harvard Business School's Rakesh Khurana, go so far as to question whether the celebrity CEO era is over.

If so, maybe things will revert to the days when CEOs and their ilk were unknown outside the boardroom and the local country club. And that might just be better for everyone.

usnews.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (5697)9/4/2002 5:28:24 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
A looming depression?

upi.com

A looming depression?
By Martin Walker
UPI Chief International Correspondent
From the International Desk
Published 9/4/2002 8:37 AM

FRANKFURT, Germany, Sept. 4 (UPI) -- One of Germany's top economists is warning the country's leading bankers that Europe, and the rest of the world, are in dire danger of following Japan into a deflationary depression -- far more serious and prolonged than a conventional recession.

"The people running the world's central banks and those responsible for economic policy should take the signs much more seriously," argues Norbert Walter, chief economist for Deutsche Bank, Germany's largest, in a paper made available exclusively to United Press International.

Walter, sunk in gloom after returning from a research trip to Asia, is circulating the paper in a bid to influence the world's financial leaders at the autumn meeting of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Washington at the end of the month.

Speaking in his Frankfurt office as the New York and European markets followed the plunge of the Tokyo stock market Tuesday, Walter warned, "If we don't get this right, we face a second leg of recession, a double-dip, combining with deflation."

The world last experienced deflation on a serious scale during the Great Depression of the 1930s. It is a condition when prices start falling, investors stop investing and companies and individuals still committed to paying off old loans go bankrupt because lower prices and lower wages give them no money to repay.

"Look at the facts," Walter said. "Japan has watched deflation over the past three years. Consumers and entrepreneurs in all areas are postponing purchase decisions. The other Asian giant, China (including Hong Kong), is also experiencing a decline in the price level.

"In the U.S., consumer price inflation is running at just barely 1 percent. As studies like the Boskin report have shown, the method of price measurement overestimates the actual price level by about one-half to a full percentage point. This means the price level in the U.S. is practically stable, and the augurs now speak of a double-dip, a second drop in economic activity."

"In Germany, prices at the consumer level are following the U.S. pattern almost down to the decimal point and domestic demand is even more sluggish, particularly in construction and retail sales. Wholesale prices are falling."

"Around the world, the indicators leave no room for talk of an upswing. The economy is in a downswing, as declining capacity utilization and increasing unemployment show. Recession cannot be ruled out, considering the multitude and seriousness of the trouble spots and potential risks to economic growth. To mention just a few -- the accounting scandals, the crisis in Latin America and the looming war with Iraq."

Walter's prescription is for a coordinated international stimulus to get the world economy moving again. But with interest rates so low, the Japanese and American central banks have little room to cut them further, and the European Central Bank has been deaf to earlier appeals to cut rates from their current 3.25 percent. That leaves only fiscal policy and tax cuts -- and deficit spending -- as a way to get money into consumers' hands again.

"The people at the top seem to be losing the sight of the big picture," he added. "Procyclical policy is being declared the only politically correct attitude. See Germany's response to the flood crisis -- postponing a badly needed tax cut, a reaction ill advised by its implications for both demand and supply-side.

"Heads of state are not economists, and their minds are currently busy with other things. The central bankers either lack the means or the conviction to cut interest rates. So it would seem appropriate if the IMF's experts assume the unassigned role of international policy coordinators."

As well as a coordinated international effort to boost the global economy through fiscal measures, Walter also sees a need for more international coordination to correct current exchange rates.

"The U.S. and above all Europe must help the Japanese out of the deflation spiral by supporting them in their efforts to lower the yen. Since the U.S., bearing in mind the current account deficit, can scarcely afford a significant effective appreciation of the dollar, the EU will have to permit its own currency to gain more strength. That signals a particular need to stimulate domestic demand by interest rate cuts. The best thing would be if Europe were to support this process with stimulatory fiscal policy."

But with Germany distracted by its election, the European Central Bank required by its statutes to fight any sign of inflation, and the straitjacket of the EU's Stability Pact requiring euro countries to cut their budget deficits, stimulus packages look politically unlikely. The stars are all aligned, fears the top economist of Germany's biggest bank, for a very dismal economic outlook.

Copyright © 2002 United Press International