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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (6428)9/14/2002 3:33:16 PM
From: sylvester80  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
Thanks for your message. I have you down for 5475-7300 days. My bet is within the next 1800 days.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (6428)9/14/2002 6:32:21 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
JayBird, who left the door open to allow you in?
got a tough question for you, since you seem to have a much better grip on Asia and China than I do

what is the risk of bank system failure in China?
I have read only sketchy information
4 big banks in ROC hold 75% of the nation's lending business
and 3 of 4 might be suffering from massive bad loans
the Chinese deflation is a quiet dirty secret
they overproduced on a wide scale

the hitch in their gittalong is the transition from state subsidies until 1999...
now to state bank formal loans
the loans are now going bad on a national humongous level
the borrowers are laughing at the banks in disbelief
culturally, it is hard to go from handouts to repayment on loans, even if amortized gradually

I would love to hear your take on this subject
China is exporting deflation heavily now
anything China does, it does big

also, is it clear to you that the Chinese Central Bank is diversifying?
in the spring I read they are diversifying reserves from 100% USTBonds to 1/3 each -- TBonds, EuroBonds, Gold

thanks a bunch
are you a closet Jackass?
a Chinese Jackass?
or just a Jackass Wannabee?
/ jim