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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (50497)10/9/2002 11:33:12 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
The fact is that climatology is a new, and very inexact science. We just don't know enough to predict the future with any degree of certainty - no pun intended.

I am aware of the ocean conveyor theory.
whoi.edu

It is a curious fact that from 900 to 1300 AD the world was so warm that the English produced fine wine! Then from 1300 to 1850 the world went through what is now called the Little Ice Age. Nobody really knows why. It's unlikely that man caused it through the emission of greenhouse gases.
amazon.com



To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (50497)10/9/2002 11:47:54 AM
From: Win Smith  Respond to of 281500
 
Try a Google search for the "ocean conveyor" for links about just one of the worrisome sensitivities of the climate we're beginning to understand.

Or you can try the more technical term "thermohaline circulation". google.com

The "ocean conveyor" stuff is probably more readable though. Book plug: amazon.com , reviewed in query.nytimes.com along with a more "politically correct" "debunking" book.

All very interesting, and frightening enough. In terms of CO2 emissions, I see no way that it's not going to get a lot worse before it gets better, unless global development goes totally off the tracks. Most places burn much less fossil fuel than the US. Plus, we got the Friends of Cheney setting energy policy, and various WH associates plotting global war and occupation to assure the oil spigots get turned up higher. We don't need no stinkin' conservation . . .