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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (52260)	10/15/2002 4:43:02 PM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

But John, Sharon's policies now are unchanged from Sharon's policies then, the ones that you said at the time would strengthen Arafat but which you now admit have weakened him. How is now different from last April? Rather simple. Arafat appeared to be on the ropes. Sharon runs that little bit of going back into the West Bank, Arafat regains some popularity, etc. My own guess, if we are having a serious conversation, is that all this is only noise. The real issue, best I can tell, is what follows Arafat. And that's the test of whether Sharon's actions were good or bad for Israel. If the Islamists follow and serious zealots on both sides take over, then Sharon's policies can hardly be judged a success; if, however, a more secular group follows, then they should be considered a success. Assuming the secular group can maintain some sort of hold on power.