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To: stockman_scott who wrote (52774)10/16/2002 12:02:55 PM
From: ggamer  Respond to of 54805
 
Is the result of this chart a surprise to anyone?

ORCL????

siliconinvestor.com

GGamer



To: stockman_scott who wrote (52774)10/16/2002 11:07:55 PM
From: Eric L  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
re: CDMA Growth

<< U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray says that GSM sales are flat but CDMA sales have climbed 3% to 4% this year. CDMA makes up only 13% of the world market, while GSM holds about 70%. Bucher says CDMA's market share will grow. >>

EMC Cellular just published sub numbers through end of Q3.

I just updated the scorecard.

After 2 years of a growth rate trailing both GSM and TDMA and based on subscriber net adds for the first 9 months of this year, CDMA is currently growing at a CAGR of 27.22% compared to a CAGR of 21.35% for GSM and a CAGR of 18.86% for TDMA.

Total Subscribers End Q3 2002 

QCDMA GSM Digital All

134.4m 747.5m 1080m 1049m

Source: EMC Cellular

27 Month Relative Market Share of CDMA & GSM

QCDMA Market Share GSM Market Share

% of all % of digital % of all % of digital

Q3 2002 End 12.4% 12.8% 69.2% 71.3%
Q2 2002 End 12.3% 12.7% 68.6% 71.0%
Q4 2001 End 11.7% 12.3% 67.0% 71.0%
Q2 2001 End 11.5% 12.3% 65.7% 70.6%
Q4 2000 End 11.5% 12.7% 64.4% 71.4%
Q2 2000 End 11.9% 13.9% 56.6% 66.1%


* In 27 months CDMA wireless market share has increased by 4.2% (½ of a percentage point) while GSM wireless market share has increased by 22,3% (12.6 percentage points).

* In 27 months GSM has increased digital market share by 7.9% (5.2 percentage points) while CDMA has declined 7.9% (-1.1 percentage points).

- Eric -