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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carranza2 who wrote (52388)	10/16/2002 12:11:40 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 281500

Will Syria and/or Iran assist Hizbollah if the US moves into Iraq with less than overwhelming force as a deterrent? Iran is already allowing US overflights and making neutrality noises -- it's pretty clear that the mullahs have sense enough not to want to fight the US in Iraq. Iran does aid Hizbullah hugely, both in money ($100 million/year) and in men, so the Israelis would be fighting both Hizbullah and Iranians in Lebanon. Whether Syria would get into it is anybody's guess. As for a 'wider war', I have seen no sign that the US would get mixed up in the Israeli/Hizbullah/Syrian war, why should it? think the possibility of Iran having nukes could be more of a threat than Iraq having them, especially if the conflict widens. The Israelis think so, particularly after Rafsanjani said that the first thing Iran would do with a bomb is drop it on Tel Aviv.