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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (52392)	10/16/2002 12:38:10 PM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

As for a 'wider war', I have seen no sign that the US would get mixed up in the Israeli/Hizbullah/Syrian war, why should it? I can see a scenario where Arafat and the Palestinians needs to be controlled by the Israelis after the conflict with Iraq starts, using up subtantial Israeli resources that might otherwise go to fighting Hizbollah in Lebanon. If Syria participates in the fight with Hizbollah, Israel might very well be stretched thinly. If things go badly for it, US help might be necessary. Ergo, wider, more anarchic conflict. That is the one scenario that worries me. Give me good reasons why it can't happen, I need to sleep well.

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (52392)	10/16/2002 12:40:00 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

the Israelis would be fighting both Hizbullah and Iranians in Lebanon. This is the critical "Sideshow," IMO. I don't see how this can be avoided once we move on Iraq. I am sure Sharon is going to bring it up on his visit here.

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (52392)	10/16/2002 1:14:04 PM
From: jcky	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

As for a 'wider war', I have seen no sign that the US would get mixed up in the Israeli/Hizbullah/Syrian war, why should it? It is not often we agree on many points concerning Mideast foreign policy, but I think this issue is pretty cut and dry. No sane American administration will ever get involved in an Israeli/Hizbullah/Syrian war. The only exception I can fathom is the very remote possibility that Israel is losing the war and her existence comes into question. Israel trumps the nuclear card and Uncle Sam reacts to prevent a Samson option.