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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (54067)	10/23/2002 1:47:34 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 281500

Do you think Hizbullah (who now own a fiefdom in Lebanon) I read part one of "Inside Hizbollah" by Jeffrey Goldberg in the "New Yorker" today. I think John agrees with me that it is an excellent piece of Journalism, and probably a correct portrayal of Hizbollah. The Hizbollah positions on Israel were coming from casual conversation with Goldberg, not as rhetoric to an audience. It was quite clear from those conversations, as reported by Goldberg, that Hizbollah was never going to quit fighting until all Israelis were driven into the sea. The thing that had convinced them that they will be successful was the withdrawal of Israel from Lebanon. It was clear that any further unilateral withdrawal by Israel would only be viewed as a sign of weakness by Hizbollah. The other thing that is quite clear is that Hizbollah is a creature of the Iranians and the Syrians. Without their support they would not have the money to run their programs. No bucks, no attacks on Israel. So I find the exchange between you and SFD interesting, but beside the point. Israel has learned to give up nothing now until they are in a much stronger position, which they will be once our involvement in the ME is settled. Once Iraq is settled, Hizbollah will be next on the list. They will go down as the result of Iran and Syria ceasing to support them. They may suffer a military defeat by Israel in the meantime, but the real defeat will be lack of money. We may be directly involved, or only from the outside. Too early to say.