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Biotech / Medical : IMI:TSE International Medical Innovations Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gg cox who wrote (13)10/30/2002 6:28:42 PM
From: gg cox  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 66
 
Good reason for optimism.

Posted by HarryKane on stockhouse.

I know how tough it's been for eveyone seeing the price deterioration.
It has happened before to vaying degrees.
However there is good reason to be optimistic.
Bear in mind that we've had one great run up in prices each + every year for the last 4 years.
Each time it was darkest just before the dawn followed by explosive growth:

Nov 1999 to March 2000, 366% in less than 5 months
June to October 2000, 230% in less than 4 months
Feb to June 2001 200% in less than 5 months
Dec to June 2002 230% in less than 7 months

stockcharts.com[h,a]dahlyiay[df][pc20!b60!f][vc60][iut!Uk14!Uh14,3]&pref=G

That's an average gain of 256% per run up.
I believe we are getting ready for another spike.
From the $2.27 low a 256% increase means $5.81.
Not bad but we could and should go much higher on subsequent runs.

The Inverness model is our stated target and role model: 1000% growth in one calendar year.
J+J was mainly responsible for that accomplishment and subsequently bought Inverness's main product.

I know 1000% seems like a stretch in this market but we do have some very nice products about to come into play.
Also we are working to a well conceived business plan with clearly stated goals and methods.
Management has integrity and has executed each + every milestone they establish.

From $2.27 1000% growth equals $22.70 per share or a market cap of $476.7M CDN.
Sounds impossible in this market doesn't it?
However we do have the products to potentially enable those targets.
Earnings of $2.20 would likely justify that price, or the sale of any one major product line.

Despite the bear market miracles do happen to a select few companies of which we may, hopefully, be one.

Completed Milestones by timeline:

CH123: Pivotal trials commence November 1997
ColorectAlert: IMI licences test for detection of early stage colorectal cancer May 1998
ColorectAlert: IMI files patent application for colorectal cancer detection test January 1999
LungAlert: IMI files patent application for lung cancer detection test January 1999
ColorectAlert: Announced May 2000, clinically more accurate than fecal occult blood testing (FOBT)
CH123: January 29, 2001, Canadian marketing clearance
LungAlert: May 2001 American Thoracic Society, 1st and only early stage test
CH123: June 11, 2001 FDA submission
CH123: July 10, 2001 DCL agrees to make CH123
CH123: September 5, 2001 SG Cowen Securities hired
CH123: October 29, 2001 resubmission to FDA, shares tank to $3.00
CH123: February 25, 2002 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA 6500 souls)
CH123: April 8, 2002 Sprecher breakthrough at American Heart Association
ColorectAlert: April 15, 2002 ColorectAlert beats FOBT financially
CH123: May 10, 2002 McNeil CDN partnership announced
CH123: June 2002 American Journal of Cardiology paper, Mancini
CH123: June 24, 2002 FDA approval
CH123: Sept. 2002 European approval
CH123 @ home: Unveiling of new modified home tests Oct Q4 2002
CH123: Oct. 28th, McNeil demos 123 at the Canadian Cardiovascular Congress, Edmonton

Milestones yet to come with approx. timing:

US stock listing Q4 2002

CH123: Revenue stream commences Q4 2002
CH123: Japanese Approval Process, completing Q4 2002
CH123: Announcement of World Wide and or US Partners Q4 2002

CH123 @ home: Clinical trials (100 souls) commence Oct Q4 2002
CH123 @ home: Clinical trials (100 souls) completed Dec Q4 2002
CH123 @ home: CDN approval + FDA 510K submission Q1 2003 substantially equivalent to CH123?
CH123 @ home: FDA approval Q3 2003

ColorectAlert: Trials completed Q4 2002 (2000 souls)
ColorectAlert: Papers submitted Q1 2002
ColorectAlert: Canadian Approval Q2 2003
ColorectAlert: FDA submission Q3 2003
ColorectAlert: FDA approval mid 2004
ColorectAlert: Marketing Partner late 2004

LungAlert: Interim Papers to be submitted this fall Q4 2002
LungAlert: Completion of trials Q1 2003
LungAlert: Canadian Approval Q3 2003
LungAlert: FDA submission Q1 2004
LungAlert: FDA approval late 2004
LungAlert: Marketing Partner late 2004

BreastAlert: Nipple Aspirate testing commences Q2 2002
BreastAlert: Market in 2005/6

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