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To: LindyBill who wrote (1407)10/30/2002 8:11:45 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6901
 
By that afternoon some of his State Department sources had written back, warning him darkly about threats to the "national interest" if he went with the story. He reluctantly decided not to publish The Nelson Report that evening.

Interesting...

But that's misleading. Kelly had his confrontational encounter with the North Koreans on October 4. The House passed its resolution on the afternoon of October 10, and the Senate did the same just after midnight. So, how many congressional briefings did the CIA and the State Department hold between the fourth and the tenth, according to their own data? Zero.

Definitely a no-no... At least brief the Senate Intelligence Committee, if not the Foriegn Affairs committee..

They fear that a crisis at this moment with North Korea could jeopardize their goal of overthrowing Saddam. In the past, Pyongyang has said that even sanctions, which the administration seems to be considering, would be an act of war. That kind of confrontation could halt the momentum for dealing with Iraq. "The hard-liners think there is a sequential approach," says an administration official. "You deal with one problem at a time." Adds another, "This kind of overloads the system."

And one has to admit that it was a savvy move... And I wonder if Saddam had any influence in racheting up the tension on his own.. It would have been a smart move...

"Despite all the tough guys, the fact is there are eleven thousand long-range artillery pieces right across the DMZ [demilitarized zone] line from Seoul," one administration official points out. "If you are looking for moral clarity you are in trouble."

Excellent point as well... But it begs the question as to just what extent we're going to permit ourselves to be extorted by the aggressive threats of the north.. After all, we rachet up the rhetoric and place S. Korea under the US nuclear umbrella... If the north nukes the south, the north will face immediate retaliation from the United States.. (which, of course, would be subject to attack by any missiles the north could manage to fling at us)..

Makes sense to move along with that anti-missle defense system, doesn't it??

And I liked the analysis on the Chinese angle to this all:

The Chinese have many reasons to cooperate. They fear a nuclear North Korea will eventually mean a nuclear Japan, and they worry about which direction the peninsula's nuclear weapons would be pointed if the Koreas are one day unified. The Chinese also fear two other developments that would accompany a nuclear North Korea: They know it will hasten American plans for missile defense and that it will lead to a buildup of U.S. forces in the region.

For all these reasons, China has an interest in persuading North Korea to disarm. And, as one of Kim Jong Il's main suppliers of food and oil, they have carrots that they can take away. But the hawks still worry about what the Chinese will want in return. "There are a lot of things they could do if they wanted to," says one official. "This is a test of China."


I still believe none of this should halt the pressure on Iraq. Saddam MUST be made to abide by UN resolutions, if only to establish that the UN as an organization has some purpose other than as a "paper tiger".

Hawk