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To: BigBull who wrote (1955)	11/3/2002 6:20:04 AM
From: D. Long	Respond to of 6901

Diplomats in Tehran tend to believe, however, that Mr Khatami would not quit and risk bringing the entire Islamic system down when it feels under threat from the US. The immediate outcome may depend on the skills of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in brokering a compromise on the controversial legislation acceptable to both sides. He and Mr Khatami would then have to test their own authority in bringing their radical supporters to heel and averting popular unrest. It is far from certain they would succeed. I've lost any faith that Khatami is anything but a Dark Horse for the mullahs. I think the bolded sections above describe the motive behind Khatamis fiery proposals. Regain ground lost as the "champion of reform" while counting on coming up with a half-baked "compromise" with Khameini in the hopes of putting the brakes on unrest. I think Khatami hopes to continue to coopt the true reformers in the government, headed by his brother it seems, and maintain the status quo. Derek