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To: LindyBill who wrote (1970)11/3/2002 10:14:07 AM
From: KLP  Respond to of 6901
 
LB, and to continue~~Reaping the Whirlwind ~ review of Age of Sacred Terror and High Cost of Peace by Mark Strauss:

'The Age of Sacred Terror' by Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon and 'The High Cost of Peace' by Yossef Bodansky

Reviewed by Mark Strauss
washingtonpost.com

Sunday, October 20, 2002; Page BW03

THE AGE OF SACRED TERROR
By Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon
Random House. 490 pp. $25.95

THE HIGH COST OF PEACE
How Washington's Middle East Policy Left America Vulnerable to Terrorism
By Yossef Bodansky
Forum. 652 pp. $27.95

Bill Clinton was not been present at the hearings of the House-Senate committee investigating intelligence failures leading up to the Sept. 11th attacks. But the former president stands accused in spirit, as witnesses duel over how much was actually done during the 1990s to confront the threat of Osama bin Laden.

Unfortunately for seekers of historical truth, there's rarely much middle ground when it comes to discussing Clinton's record. On one side are the conspiracy theorists for whom the president could do no right. In their eyes, Clinton's eight years in office were a string of cynical ad hoc policy initiatives designed to boost the scandal-ridden president's standing in the polls. On the other side are the veterans of his administration, who see their accomplishments tarred by the baseless accusations of a right-wing lynch mob and a salacious press.

Two new books on Clinton's policies toward al Qaeda fall into this familiar pattern and reveal that, even as the country is united against bin Laden, it remains bitterly divided over the legacy of President George W. Bush's predecessor. Yossef Bodanksy -- the director of the House Republican Research Committee's Congressional Task Force on Terrorism and Unconventional Warfare -- represents the Clinton bashers. In The High Cost of Peace, he barely contains his outrage as he charts a series of Middle East policy missteps that he claims antagonized al Qaeda into striking the United States. Playing the role of administration insiders, Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon -- who served respectively as director and senior director for counterterrorism at the White House's National Security Council -- offer a carefully researched chronicle, The Age of Sacred Terror. Their book purports to defend the president but, ironically, provides Clinton's enemies with more credible ammunition than do Bodansky's tirades.

Benjamin and Simon seek to portray a White House that was increasingly alarmed by the rise of al Qaeda and its pursuit of weapons of mass destruction even as the rest of Washington slumbered. So who's to blame for Sept. 11? It's the bureaucracy, stupid.

The Age of Sacred Terror catalogues how infighting and inertia among the government's fiefdoms stymied the Clinton administration's efforts to mobilize the United States against al Qaeda. The FBI, for instance, sat on a "trove of information" that it never bothered to share with the CIA or other national security officials. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin effectively vetoed a plan to conduct covert operations against banks suspected of laundering funds for al Qaeda, arguing that such operations would reduce confidence in the United States as "the guarantor of the international financial system." The State Department, which largely "had a hard time wrapping its mind around the issue," dragged its feet in implementing measures to safeguard U.S. embassies against terrorist attacks.

Likewise, the Pentagon offered little in the way of creative solutions. The military brass didn't want to go out on a limb for Clinton after the Somalia debacle, and the Pentagon didn't consider counterterrorism to be part of its mandate. Consequently, when the White House approached the Pentagon in late 1998 to draw up plans to strike bin Laden, defense officials presented an unwieldy "$2 billion option" for invading Afghanistan that was a complete nonstarter. Later, Clinton approached Joint Chiefs Chairman Hugh Shelton to propose a special forces operation, saying that: "[It] would scare the [expletive] out of al-Qaeda if suddenly a bunch of black ninjas rappelled out of helicopters into the middle of their camp." But the Pentagon feared another "Desert One" -- the failed mission to rescue the U.S. hostages in Iran during the Carter administration. The White House never gave the order, dreading a public-relations disaster if word leaked that the military was compelled to undertake an operation that it considered suicidal.

With telling detail and crisp prose, Benjamin and Simon's book may emerge as the best insider account of the pre-Sept. 11 fight against al Qaeda. (Their initial chapters that chronicle the evolution of radical Islamist ideology and the rise of bin Laden are especially good.) But while they say their intent is not to absolve the Clinton administration of its sins of omission and they agonize over whether more could have been done against al Qaeda, their catalogue of mitigating circumstances too often reads like a laundry list of excuses. Clinton couldn't take to the bully pulpit to raise awareness of the threat, because his warnings would not likely "have made a difference to those who were singing 'Wag the Dog' on CNN." Clinton couldn't fire FBI director Louis Freeh, because that would have appeared to be a conflict of interests in light of the bureau's ongoing investigations of the administration. Prior to Sept. 11, there was "no basis" for waging a war in Afghanistan, and "no honest assessment could show that such a campaign was politically feasible." Bureaucratic inertia is inevitable, Benjamin and Simon say, because there is no such thing as an "omnipotent presidency."

It's certainly true that Americans can't expect their president to be omnipotent -- but they also have every right to expect him to be competent. Particularly in times of crisis, the president's job description is to overcome bureaucratic rivalry, not to be immobilized by it. Clinton himself proved he was capable of decisive action when he cut through political and bureaucratic resistance to wage a war to end ethnic cleansing in the Balkans, which had less apparent relevance to America's national security than did the activities of Islamic terrorists. Today, even those who disagree with Bush's intention to attack Iraq can't dispute his skill at steamrolling Congress, the State Department, the Pentagon, even the United Nations. Benjamin and Simon's portrayal of the White House's paralysis, even as the highest levels of government were increasingly aware of the al Qaeda threat, will do little to burnish Clinton's legacy.

Meanwhile, Yossef Bodansky believes that Clinton's pursuit of a legacy was precisely the problem. The High Cost of Peace doesn't specifically address the events leading up to Sept. 11 but suggests that Clinton irresponsibly poked the Islamist hornet's nest with a stick when he fostered a flawed Middle East peace process. Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat, Bodansky says, never intended to make peace with Israel. Instead, he saw the Oslo negotiations as a pretext to get a foothold in Palestine and prepare for the phased destruction of the Jewish state. Arafat made common cause with Islamic terrorist groups, such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad, to compel Israel to retaliate against the Palestinian Authority and thereby foment another intifada. (Bin Laden played his part by sending "dozens of highly trained terrorists -- most of them Arabs -- to the Arafat-controlled parts of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.") Then, once Israel began fighting the Palestinians and found itself isolated in the international community, a military force led by an axis of Iraq, Syria and Iran would strike the Jewish state when it was at its most vulnerable. According to Bodansky, Clinton was so obsessed with getting into the history books that he turned a blind eye to these developments and instead seduced and browbeat the Israelis into making concessions that merely emboldened Arafat and his Islamic cadres.

It's hard to say for sure how much of what Bodansky writes is hard fact and how much is speculation. He never uses footnotes, because he doesn't want to jeopardize the lives of his sources. More broadly, his long-time zeal for exposing global Islamist conspiracies has made him into a "machine-gun analyst" who fires accusations in every direction. In The High Cost of Peace, this penchant for unraveling plots yields several screwball assessments of U.S. policymakers. Allegedly, Clinton was so obsessed with re-election in 1996 and winning over voters with cheap oil that he made Muslim interests the focal point of his foreign policy: "Hence, Bosnia had to become a Muslim state, come hell or high water, and the administration would bomb the civilian infrastructure of Yugoslavia for the sake of Kosovo Albanians. . . . The Clinton administration risked the alienation of Russia to a Cold War level in favoring the Chechens." And, inevitably, Monica Lewinksy makes a guest appearance, allegedly compelling Clinton to bomb Iraq in 1998 to divert attention from the growing sex scandal.

What little analysis Bodansky offers on the connection between the failed peace process and the rise of al Qaeda puts a rightward spin on the left's "blame the victim" argument attributing Sept. 11 to America's arrogance and its close ties with the Jewish state. Clinton aroused "frustration and wrath" throughout the Muslim world because of his failure to "deliver" Israel. Moreover, "the enduring legacy of the Clinton administration's 'humanitarian aggression'. . . has been to make the Arab world even more virulently radicalized and uncompromisingly hostile to the U.S.-led West." (Wait -- isn't this the very same "humanitarian aggression" that Bodansky earlier argued appeased the Muslim world?)

Bodansky suggests that the only way to stem the rise of Islamic radicals is to promote a "new Middle East" where key Arab governments will undertake economic reforms and "make a meaningful commitment to peaceful coexistence with everybody." On this point at least, Benjamin and Simon agree: "Democratization, however hazardous and unpredictable the process may be, is the key to eliminating sacred terror over the long term." As disputed as Clinton's record against al Qaeda may be, the true measure of his successor's legacy in the war against terror will be how well he accomplishes this monumental task. •

Mark Strauss is a senior editor at Foreign Policy magazine.



To: LindyBill who wrote (1970)11/3/2002 10:16:11 AM
From: KLP  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 6901
 
This from current Time Mag...Not much hope in this article:

Islam’s War of Words
VIEWPOINT: Good deeds now won't erase a history of hate
BY DANIEL BENJAMIN and STEVEN SIMON
time.com

Excerpt:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>At meeting after meeting, American Presidents and Secretaries of State would raise the issue of anti-American and anti-Semitic material in the Islamic world’s press. But they seldom made heavy weather about this kind of garbage, standing dutifully by while their visitors spoke disingenuously about their country’s free press. The understanding was that these moderate regimes would deliver on America’s top concerns, support for the Middle East peace process and regional security. In the end, it was a doomed bargain. Moderate Arab regimes — Jordan excepted — did little to support the peace, and some, like Egypt, even undermined it at times. All the West has to show for its efforts is a world of hatred.

Yes, America and its friends need to push leaders in the Islamic world to rein in their press. Western diplomats and political leaders need to give more interviews and insist that their words not be twisted. But no one should believe change will come quickly. It will take years of demolition to grind down the mountain of mass-produced hatred that years built.

Daniel Benjamin is a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Steven Simon is assistant director of the International Institute for Strategic Studies. Both served on the U.S. National Security Council staff, 1994-99 <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<



To: LindyBill who wrote (1970)11/3/2002 10:17:41 AM
From: KLP  Respond to of 6901
 
And one more...Discussion I call "Point: Counter Point~~ Eric Reeves and Daniel Benjamin: Letter: THE ATTACK ON KHARTOUM"

March 14, 2002
nybooks.com
Letter
THE ATTACK ON KHARTOUM
By Eric Reeves, Reply by Daniel Benjamin
In response to "A Failure of Intelligence?" (December 20, 2001)
The New York Review of Books

To the Editors:

Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon ["A Failure of Intelligence?" NYR, December 20, 2001] offer a troubling mix of insight and obfuscation in their analysis of the US cruise-missile attack on Sudan's al-Shifa pharmaceutical factory in the immediate wake of the 1998 embassy bombings in East Africa. Importantly, these two members of the Clinton administration National Security Council highlight the disturbing and ongoing complicity of Khartoum's National Islamic Front regime in the terrorist activities of Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda—in particular, the efforts to acquire chemical weapons. They rightly suggest this complicity is both underreported and deeply ominous.

Still, their attempt to redeem the Clinton administration decision to bomb al-Shifa is seriously deficient. In an extraordinary omission, Benjamin and Simon make no mention of the widely reported findings of Professor Thomas Tullius (chair of the chemistry department at Boston University), who examined—with full access— the bombed-out remains of al-Shifa. His meticulous investigation found no trace whatsoever of EMPTA, the chemical whose supposed presence at al-Shifa served as the only publicly proffered forensic evidence that the pharmaceutical facility was manufacturing deadly VX nerve gas.[*]

More consequentially, Benjamin and Simon give no sign of having considered the real issue in the al-Shifa episode; they never seriously ask what evidentiary standards should have obtained to justify an attack on Khartoum. Instead, they vaguely declare that "the perception of imminent danger was sufficient to overcome these concerns" (i.e., concerns about attacking a country on the basis of clandestine information in pursuit of "a strategy of preempting threats").

They make no mention, for example, of the immense and tenuous humanitarian relief operation in southern Sudan that was imperiled by the attack. Khartoum, long at war with the people of the south, has shown itself capable of harassing, interdicting, and halting altogether such international relief aid—before and after the al-Shifa attack. US support for the people of the south is one of the most salient features in the hostile relationship between Khartoum and Washington. It was the height of irresponsibility to give no consideration to the possibility that Khartoum would retaliate by interdicting humanitarian aid. A US attack on a pharmaceutical factory in the capital city of a regime fully capable of such action should have been undertaken only with compelling evidence that could be shared in the court of world opinion.

More damaging yet was the effect on European perceptions of US policy toward Khartoum. Instead of serving the nominal Clinton policy of isolating the National Islamic Front and pressuring it to end the most destructive civil conflict in the world, then and now, the al-Shifa bombing and the ineptitude of the justification that followed made it easier for Europeans to continue with their economically self-interested policy of "constructive engagement," dismissing US policy as the product of a "cowboy mentality."

Benjamin and Simon, by omitting any discussion of the most damaging criticism of the forensic evidence, and by ignoring the issue of an appropriate evidentiary threshold, perversely continue the Clinton administration debacle of August 1998.

Eric Reeves

Northampton, Massachusetts

Daniel Benjamin replies:
If Eric Reeves believes that we "never seriously ask what evidentiary standards should have obtained to justify an attack on Khartoum," then it is difficult to believe that he read our article. We wrote at length about how the US gathered and interpreted "intelligence" concerning how the al-Shifa plant was assembled and how, in the context of the East Africa embassy bombings, the decision was made to destroy al-Shifa. The peril that was perceived to American lives—accurately, if we believe the testimony of Jamal Ahmed al-Fadl in the embassy bombings trial—was decisive. Under these circumstances, President Clinton and his advisers could not wait for courtroom evidence that might not ever be obtainable while chemical weapons were produced or deployed for use against Americans.

Professor Reeves complains that we omitted the findings of Professor Thomas Tullius. We were of aware of Professor Tullius's work, and, as Professor Reeves seems not to have been, that Professor Tullius's report was commissioned by Salah Idris, the owner of record of al-Shifa, who is suing the United States. The investigative work was done months after the attack—after the site was washed repeatedly by water used by firefighters and seasonal rains. Professor Tullius, moreover, was never on site in Sudan and his findings have never been published; nothing more than the professor's remarks to reporters have been available for review. That hardly seemed to require any comment on our part.

We agree that the government of Sudan's campaign against the people of southern Sudan is a continuing atrocity. But Professor Reeves adduces no proof for his claim that the potential effect on the humanitarian effort in the region was not considered by the US before the strike against al-Shifa. On the contrary, it seems probable that the issue was evaluated by the State Department or Principals Committee and that the determination was that Sudan was unlikely to interrupt the humanitarian mission. That judgment was correct. Professor Reeve's insinuation that the Sudanese used the attack on al-Shifa to stop humanitarian aid delivery is simply false: no such interdiction of assistance occurred.

Finally, Professor Reeves argues implicitly that the US should have cared more about how Europeans would react than about preempting a possible attack against Americans involving a weapon of mass destruction. Who is being perverse?

Notes
[*] On Professor Tullius's findings and procedures, see James Risen and David Johnston, "Experts Find No Arms Chemicals at Bombed Sudan Plant," The New York Times, February 9, 1999.