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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Roebear who wrote (21947)11/15/2002 7:01:33 PM
From: Canuck Dave  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
Can I throw in my two cents on the Atlantic cooling thing?

I used to do programming for oceanographic and climate research for a living and the North Atlantic is subject to recurring "Great Salinity Anomalies" which persist on decadal time scales. They were used to explain amongst other things the collapse of the Grand Banks Cod fishing industry. Yeah, those dredgers are totally benign.

A freshening of the North Atlantic has been hypothesized as an adjunct of global warming for some years. Normally, warm, salty water (out of the Mediterranean no less) travels north, cools, sinks, and spreads out in "the great conveyer belt".

Fresher North Atlantic water from ice melting or increased fresh water input means no sinking, and the Gulf Stream is severely weakened leading to locally colder conditions in Europe and a whole host of other effects.

Personally, I think it's part of a natural variability process with weak climatic ramifications, and the scientists are fear mongering trying to pad their travel budgets.

Which shows you how much I think of oceanographers and climate scientists.

CD



To: Roebear who wrote (21947)11/16/2002 12:13:36 AM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
Hi Roebear. Hickory instead of oak? :o)

<we'll be warm this winter no matter what.>

As long as we aren't glowing in the dark sometime before the end of heating season.......

Although I don't attach much, if any, credibility to that Asian newspaper article; was surprised with the dire nature of the FBI warning, issued in the past 24 hours.

<"In selecting its next targets, sources suggest al Qaeda may favor spectacular attacks that meet several criteria: high symbolic value, mass casualties, severe damage to the U.S. economy and maximum psychological trauma," the FBI said.>

And in another excerp from The NY Times article:

<...several officials said that today's warning was genuine, although they added that there was no intelligence about the time, place or method of any such attack. They acknowledged that the language of this alert was more extreme than similar alerts issued in the past; earlier alerts have seldom made reference to the expectation of large-scale attacks or possible casualties.>

nytimes.com

Could be just a coincidence. But the proximity in time of the alleged Al Qaeda interview getting a public airing in that Asian paper and the FBI alert right on top of it makes me wonder if the story may contain an element of truth, exaggerated though it may be.

Of course, we will all know in the fullness of time.

Isopatch