SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pogbull who wrote (9710)11/26/2002 9:48:17 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467
 
Bernanke speech confirms the gold strategy
REFLATION might not succeed
but gold will rise during their struggles and attempts
since the spring I have expected EVENTUALLY for the Fed to employ its next stage of DRASTIC MEASURES
that means MONETIZATION of debts
we are here at long last
the gold market hasnt responded yet, but it will

Bernanke makes a typical economist charlatan claim
"I believe that the chance of significant deflation in the USA in the foreseeable future is extremely small, for two principal reasons."
resilience and structural stability
remarkable ability to absorb shocks of all kinds

well, I tend to disagree with this harlot cheerleader
the structural stability of our economy is shaky now, due to suffocation by debt and actual debt collapse, which has begun to feed upon itself, producing INSTABILITY

sure, the economy absorbs shocks, but it does so by adjusting prices, both upward and downward
the next raised prices will be in energy costs and interest rates
the dollar must soon be defended
and prices continue in deflation for the product sector
at least 2/3 of sectors are now in deflation
"lack of pricing power" is the operating euphemism

as Roach claims, the Fed strategy may not succeed
three sectors must respond, and ALL THREE ARE UTTERLY EXHAUSTED
consumer durables (frig, furniture, TV, car)
business capex (equipmt, computers, tractors)
car sales

the Fed boasts that they have more tools at their disposal
sure, but they are ALL DESPERATE TOOLS
e.g. monetizing debt, S&P futures, dollar futures, gold short futures, BankJapan purchases
they wont last long
just as the Fed has encouraged monumental distortions since Jan2001, they will continue to worsen them
they are attempting to bypass a recession
they will likely earn a depression or massive massive stagflation for their efforts

the Fed is running out of options, exhausting the economy's entire set of demand buttons
now they are resorting to utter desperation

WE ARE SETTING UP FOR THE MOTHER OF ALL STAGFLATIONS
if we are lucky, we will avoid a depression

the Fed actually believes they can fool the bond and currency markets by monetizing debt
READ: PRINTING MONEY WITHOUT USE OF BOND SALES
this is the backdoor for inflation and higher bond rates

also, todays Q3 revision to GDP brings two points
USGovt spending was a big piece with war preparation
Q3 robs from anemic Q4, which the stock market expects
/ jim