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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hugh A who wrote (25919)12/7/2002 10:05:35 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
There are two basic ways the price of gold can go up. One is a real increase due to increased demand and/or reduced supply. The arguments here are that the gold available is very small compared to the total invested savings of the public globally and therefore a small shift in favor of gold in portfolios can push the price up a lot. That of course will cause a scramble for exploration and more production something that already there were signs of in Australia. If there is a sustained shift towards gold even that and central bank gold may not be enough. 10000 tonnes of gold is about $100 billion which is one large cap company's market capitalization.

The other possibility is inflation will push up the price of gold - i.e. a nominal increase. If all countries try to simultaneously devalue they will just all end up with inflation simultaneously.

So the answer to your question would depend on how much this action will affect both these things.

Moomin



To: Hugh A who wrote (25919)12/7/2002 6:52:02 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Hugh, forget the economic analysis of gold, for it is time for panic buy, without hesitation, for no regret, so as to obtain redemption through Aztec charm;0)
Chugs, Jay



To: Hugh A who wrote (25919)12/7/2002 7:55:44 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 74559
 
<Any thoughts from an economic perspective?>

The price of everything will respond as always... including gold.

DAK