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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jcky who wrote (61069)	12/11/2002 11:55:07 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

It would have been well within the Iraqi capability to arm the Scuds with either chemical or biologic weapons to disrupt either the Americans, Israelis, or Saudis. This did not occur. During the air campaign alone, yes. But we cannot know (at least without finding a witness) if Saddam gave the orders for chemical warheads when the Americans invaded. Arming chemical weapons must be done by trained technicians shortly before they are fired, from what I have read. We may simply have overrun the Iraqi positions before the munitions could be armed. That's just one possible interpretation. Arguably, the point can also be made the war hawks are leaning over backwards to give Saddam the worst of all possible interpretation of events in order to sell a war. The authors are trying to read into the mind of a man, not an exact science. No clear answers here No matter how you slice it, considering the results of Saddam's little adventures (and the article you cited omitted some of them, like the attempt to reinvade Kuwait in 1994), you can hardly avoid the conclusion that Saddam is prone to aggression and wild miscalculation.

To: jcky who wrote (61069)	12/11/2002 12:14:32 PM
From: stockman_scott	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

Yemen Demands Missiles From Korean Ship story.news.yahoo.com

To: jcky who wrote (61069)	12/11/2002 3:17:23 PM
From: stockman_scott	Respond to of 281500

* The University of Chicago's John J. Mearsheimer is interviewed by Chicago Public Radio's World View program... wbez.org This is an excellent interview that took place on Monday. It takes about 30 seconds to get into it and it lasts around 1/2 hour...He is a big believer in 'the vigilant containment' of Iraq and still feels that there is less than a 20% chance we may end up going to war -- this is explained in the interview. ______________________________________ *John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison distinguished service professor of political science at the University of Chicago, where he codirects the Program in International Security Policy. He is the author of The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (New York: W. W. Norton, 2001).