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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JohnM who wrote (61923)	12/15/2002 8:11:55 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

I'm talking about the ongoing deal, started with Nixon, in which the Reps aggressively courted white Southerners by using the code words of racism. I have no doubt that happened. Everybody on both sides is so good at it now that nothing has to be said. It is unusual for a Politician of Lott's stature to slip that bad. From a technical Political viewpoint, which is the one we can use to communicate without hollering at each other, It is obvious from the last election that Bush, et al, have been totally unsuccessful at getting any Black or Brown vote increase. What worked for them was increasing the turnout of the Male White vote and, surprisingly, an increase in the Female White vote, especially in the Suburbs. That seems to be a "War" thing with the ladies, possible due to the "Nesting" instinct to protect the young. :^)

To: JohnM who wrote (61923)	12/16/2002 9:01:18 PM
From: PartyTime	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

When >>>Lyndon Johnson signed the 1965 Voting Rights Act, he remarked to Senate majority leader Sam Rayburn, "This bill is gonna cost the democrats the whole South."<<< tbwt.com Ever since LBJ made that intuitive comment Republicans have been grabbing for white southern votes and in this pressure many once-Democrats converted to the GOP and the subtle race buttons have been pushed over and over again. Problem is, Lott pushed at the Thurmond event that awful race button one time too many. In fact, Lott's illful remarks ran smack dab into a couple of GOP studies showing Republicans will need a slice of the minority voting pie. >>>Some GOP strategists argue that the test proved that the Republicans need to fight for the minority vote even if it means devoting resources and engaging in an extended argument with Democrats. And they argue that, in most markets, African-American radio is so inexpensive that it makes sense for Republicans to advertise on those stations.<<< rollcall.com Apparently, there's another study which was referred to on one of today's news programs (can't remember which one--I think MSNBC) whereby the changing demographics mean the GOP has to get an increased percentage of the minority vote in order to win in '04. So, John, maybe Lott by his remarks was playing only to Mississippi fans and a few home courts in the South, but his game, according to the current GOP planning regime, no longer works in the national arena given in the increase of minority voting. Ironically, it was the GOP going after the southern white votes that likely produced both Carter and Clinton, as the democrats needed to invoke a southern strategy of their own. Clinton, of course, as then-governor of Arkansas, was a founder and influential member of the Democratic Leadership Council which courted a strong southern strategy in order to help nominate a southerner from Super Tuesday.