SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (38675)12/30/2002 2:52:55 AM
From: Lachesis Atropos  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 69853
 
Hi Harry I am not sure how I did that :-(

Here is what I got so far for the S&P 500 from 1960 todate:
The first line reads like this, "One 1 down day that fell
0.50% followed by an up day occurred 0.71% of the time.

NDwn, Percent, UpProb
1, 0.50%, 0.71%
1, 0.51%, 0.62%
1, 0.52%, 0.18%
1, 0.53%, 0.62%
1, 0.54%, 0.44%
1, 0.55%, 0.62%
1, 0.56%, 0.62%
1, 0.57%, 0.62%
1, 0.58%, 0.71%
1, 0.59%, 0.18%
1, 0.60%, 0.80%
1, 0.61%, 0.62%
1, 0.62%, 0.36%
1, 0.63%, 0.44%
1, 0.64%, 0.80%
1, 0.65%, 0.71%
1, 0.66%, 0.44%
1, 0.67%, 0.53%
1, 0.68%, 0.44%
1, 0.69%, 0.71%
1, 0.70%, 0.62%
1, 0.71%, 0.18%
1, 0.72%, 0.44%
1, 0.73%, 0.44%
1, 0.74%, 0.62%
1, 0.75%, 0.62%
1, 0.76%, 0.27%
1, 0.77%, 0.44%
1, 0.78%, 0.36%
1, 0.79%, 0.62%
1, 0.80%, 0.53%
1, 0.81%, 0.53%
1, 0.82%, 0.80%
1, 0.83%, 0.27%
1, 0.84%, 0.36%
1, 0.85%, 0.36%
1, 0.86%, 0.18%
1, 0.87%, 0.27%
1, 0.88%, 0.36%
1, 0.89%, 0.09%
1, 0.90%, 0.44%
1, 0.91%, 0.44%
1, 0.92%, 0.36%
1, 0.93%, 0.18%
1, 0.94%, 0.27%
1, 0.95%, 0.36%
1, 0.96%, 0.36%
1, 0.97%, 0.44%
1, 0.98%, 0.36%
1, 0.99%, 0.27%
1, 1.00%, 0.09%
1, 1.01%, 0.09%
1, 1.02%, 0.27%
1, 1.03%, 0.27%
1, 1.04%, 0.18%
1, 1.05%, 0.53%
1, 1.06%, 0.80%
1, 1.07%, 0.27%
1, 1.08%, 0.44%
1, 1.09%, 0.18%
1, 1.11%, 0.09%
1, 1.12%, 0.44%
1, 1.13%, 0.27%
1, 1.14%, 0.44%
1, 1.15%, 0.36%
1, 1.16%, 0.36%
1, 1.17%, 0.18%
1, 1.18%, 0.53%
1, 1.19%, 0.53%
1, 1.20%, 0.36%
1, 1.23%, 0.09%
1, 1.24%, 0.18%
1, 1.25%, 0.27%
1, 1.26%, 0.18%
1, 1.27%, 0.27%
1, 1.28%, 0.18%
1, 1.29%, 0.09%
1, 1.31%, 0.18%
1, 1.32%, 0.09%
1, 1.34%, 0.27%
1, 1.35%, 0.18%
1, 1.36%, 0.09%
1, 1.37%, 0.09%
1, 1.38%, 0.18%
1, 1.40%, 0.18%
1, 1.41%, 0.18%
1, 1.42%, 0.18%
1, 1.44%, 0.18%
1, 1.46%, 0.09%
1, 1.48%, 0.09%
1, 1.49%, 0.09%
1, 1.50%, 0.18%
1, 1.51%, 0.09%
1, 1.52%, 0.18%
1, 1.53%, 0.09%
1, 1.55%, 0.09%
1, 1.56%, 0.18%
1, 1.57%, 0.09%
1, 1.59%, 0.09%
1, 1.60%, 0.09%
1, 1.62%, 0.09%
1, 1.63%, 0.09%
1, 1.64%, 0.18%
1, 1.66%, 0.09%
1, 1.67%, 0.18%
1, 1.71%, 0.09%
1, 1.72%, 0.18%
1, 1.73%, 0.09%
1, 1.75%, 0.09%
1, 1.76%, 0.09%
1, 1.77%, 0.18%
1, 1.79%, 0.09%
1, 1.80%, 0.09%
1, 1.81%, 0.27%
1, 1.82%, 0.09%
1, 1.87%, 0.09%
1, 1.88%, 0.09%
1, 1.90%, 0.09%
1, 1.91%, 0.18%
1, 1.95%, 0.09%
1, 1.97%, 0.09%
1, 2.03%, 0.09%
1, 2.04%, 0.18%
1, 2.06%, 0.09%
1, 2.07%, 0.18%
1, 2.08%, 0.18%
1, 2.10%, 0.18%
1, 2.12%, 0.09%
1, 2.15%, 0.09%
1, 2.16%, 0.09%
1, 2.18%, 0.09%
1, 2.19%, 0.27%
1, 2.20%, 0.09%
1, 2.21%, 0.27%
1, 2.27%, 0.18%
1, 2.32%, 0.09%
1, 2.34%, 0.09%
1, 2.38%, 0.09%
1, 2.46%, 0.09%
1, 2.50%, 0.09%
1, 2.52%, 0.09%
1, 2.53%, 0.09%
1, 2.55%, 0.18%
1, 2.62%, 0.09%
1, 2.64%, 0.18%
1, 2.71%, 0.18%
1, 2.76%, 0.09%
1, 2.77%, 0.09%
1, 2.79%, 0.09%
1, 2.92%, 0.09%
1, 3.04%, 0.09%
1, 3.15%, 0.18%
1, 3.30%, 0.09%
1, 3.63%, 0.09%
1, 3.68%, 0.09%
2, 0.50%, 0.44%
2, 0.51%, 0.44%
2, 0.52%, 0.62%
2, 0.53%, 0.44%
2, 0.54%, 0.36%
2, 0.55%, 0.62%
2, 0.56%, 0.27%
2, 0.57%, 0.44%
2, 0.58%, 0.36%
2, 0.59%, 0.44%
2, 0.60%, 0.36%
2, 0.61%, 0.62%
2, 0.62%, 0.44%
2, 0.63%, 0.27%
2, 0.65%, 0.18%
2, 0.66%, 0.27%
2, 0.67%, 0.36%
2, 0.68%, 0.44%
2, 0.69%, 0.44%
2, 0.70%, 0.36%
2, 0.71%, 0.53%
2, 0.72%, 0.36%
2, 0.73%, 0.53%
2, 0.74%, 0.36%
2, 0.75%, 0.36%
2, 0.76%, 0.09%
2, 0.77%, 0.18%
2, 0.78%, 0.36%
2, 0.79%, 0.36%
2, 0.80%, 0.36%
2, 0.81%, 0.09%
2, 0.82%, 0.62%
2, 0.83%, 0.62%
2, 0.84%, 0.09%
2, 0.85%, 0.18%
2, 0.86%, 0.27%
2, 0.87%, 0.27%
2, 0.89%, 0.09%
2, 0.90%, 0.18%
2, 0.91%, 0.09%
2, 0.92%, 0.36%
2, 0.93%, 0.09%
2, 0.94%, 0.18%
2, 0.95%, 0.09%
2, 0.96%, 0.53%
2, 0.97%, 0.09%
2, 0.98%, 0.09%
2, 1.00%, 0.09%
2, 1.01%, 0.18%
2, 1.02%, 0.44%
2, 1.03%, 0.09%
2, 1.04%, 0.09%
2, 1.05%, 0.09%
2, 1.06%, 0.27%
2, 1.08%, 0.09%
2, 1.09%, 0.09%
2, 1.10%, 0.18%
2, 1.11%, 0.18%
2, 1.12%, 0.18%
2, 1.13%, 0.09%
2, 1.14%, 0.18%
2, 1.15%, 0.18%
2, 1.16%, 0.27%
2, 1.17%, 0.36%
2, 1.18%, 0.09%
2, 1.20%, 0.18%
2, 1.21%, 0.09%
2, 1.22%, 0.09%
2, 1.23%, 0.27%
2, 1.24%, 0.09%
2, 1.25%, 0.18%
2, 1.26%, 0.09%
2, 1.28%, 0.09%
2, 1.29%, 0.18%
2, 1.30%, 0.09%
2, 1.31%, 0.09%
2, 1.34%, 0.27%
2, 1.37%, 0.36%
2, 1.41%, 0.09%
2, 1.43%, 0.18%
2, 1.44%, 0.18%
2, 1.45%, 0.09%
2, 1.46%, 0.18%
2, 1.47%, 0.18%
2, 1.49%, 0.18%
2, 1.50%, 0.09%
2, 1.52%, 0.09%
2, 1.53%, 0.09%
2, 1.55%, 0.18%
2, 1.56%, 0.18%
2, 1.57%, 0.18%
2, 1.59%, 0.09%
2, 1.60%, 0.09%
2, 1.64%, 0.09%
2, 1.65%, 0.18%
2, 1.67%, 0.18%
2, 1.69%, 0.18%
2, 1.72%, 0.18%
2, 1.76%, 0.18%
2, 1.77%, 0.18%
2, 1.81%, 0.09%
2, 1.93%, 0.09%
2, 1.96%, 0.09%
2, 1.97%, 0.09%
2, 2.00%, 0.09%
2, 2.04%, 0.09%
2, 2.08%, 0.09%
2, 2.10%, 0.09%
2, 2.11%, 0.09%
2, 2.23%, 0.09%
2, 2.44%, 0.09%
2, 2.49%, 0.09%
2, 2.78%, 0.09%
2, 2.82%, 0.09%
2, 2.96%, 0.09%
2, 3.15%, 0.09%
3, 0.50%, 0.36%
3, 0.51%, 0.09%
3, 0.52%, 0.18%
3, 0.53%, 0.09%
3, 0.54%, 0.27%
3, 0.55%, 0.18%
3, 0.56%, 0.36%
3, 0.58%, 0.62%
3, 0.59%, 0.44%
3, 0.60%, 0.36%
3, 0.61%, 0.18%
3, 0.62%, 0.27%
3, 0.63%, 0.18%
3, 0.64%, 0.27%
3, 0.65%, 0.27%
3, 0.66%, 0.09%
3, 0.67%, 0.18%
3, 0.68%, 0.09%
3, 0.69%, 0.18%
3, 0.70%, 0.09%
3, 0.71%, 0.18%
3, 0.73%, 0.27%
3, 0.74%, 0.18%
3, 0.75%, 0.27%
3, 0.76%, 0.18%
3, 0.78%, 0.18%
3, 0.79%, 0.18%
3, 0.80%, 0.36%
3, 0.81%, 0.62%
3, 0.82%, 0.18%
3, 0.83%, 0.27%
3, 0.84%, 0.09%
3, 0.85%, 0.36%
3, 0.86%, 0.09%
3, 0.87%, 0.18%
3, 0.89%, 0.27%
3, 0.90%, 0.18%
3, 0.91%, 0.09%
3, 0.92%, 0.09%
3, 0.93%, 0.09%
3, 0.94%, 0.09%
3, 0.95%, 0.09%
3, 0.96%, 0.27%
3, 0.97%, 0.09%
3, 0.98%, 0.18%
3, 0.99%, 0.18%
3, 1.01%, 0.27%
3, 1.02%, 0.09%
3, 1.03%, 0.36%
3, 1.04%, 0.27%
3, 1.05%, 0.27%
3, 1.06%, 0.18%
3, 1.07%, 0.09%
3, 1.08%, 0.36%
3, 1.11%, 0.09%
3, 1.12%, 0.09%
3, 1.13%, 0.09%
3, 1.15%, 0.09%
3, 1.16%, 0.27%
3, 1.18%, 0.09%
3, 1.20%, 0.09%
3, 1.25%, 0.27%
3, 1.26%, 0.18%
3, 1.27%, 0.09%
3, 1.29%, 0.09%
3, 1.32%, 0.09%
3, 1.33%, 0.09%
3, 1.34%, 0.09%
3, 1.35%, 0.09%
3, 1.40%, 0.09%
3, 1.47%, 0.09%
3, 1.50%, 0.09%
3, 1.57%, 0.09%
3, 1.58%, 0.09%
3, 1.59%, 0.09%
3, 1.62%, 0.09%
3, 1.63%, 0.09%
3, 1.72%, 0.27%
3, 1.73%, 0.09%
3, 1.76%, 0.09%
3, 1.77%, 0.09%
3, 1.81%, 0.09%
3, 2.13%, 0.18%
3, 2.23%, 0.09%
3, 2.37%, 0.09%
3, 2.41%, 0.09%
3, 2.63%, 0.09%
3, 2.72%, 0.18%
3, 2.77%, 0.09%
4, 0.50%, 0.44%
4, 0.52%, 0.09%
4, 0.53%, 0.09%
4, 0.54%, 0.09%
4, 0.56%, 0.27%
4, 0.58%, 0.09%
4, 0.60%, 0.09%
4, 0.61%, 0.09%
4, 0.62%, 0.09%
4, 0.63%, 0.09%
4, 0.64%, 0.27%
4, 0.65%, 0.09%
4, 0.66%, 0.36%
4, 0.67%, 0.18%
4, 0.68%, 0.18%
4, 0.69%, 0.18%
4, 0.70%, 0.18%
4, 0.71%, 0.44%
4, 0.72%, 0.09%
4, 0.73%, 0.09%
4, 0.75%, 0.09%
4, 0.76%, 0.18%
4, 0.77%, 0.36%
4, 0.80%, 0.09%
4, 0.81%, 0.18%
4, 0.83%, 0.18%
4, 0.84%, 0.18%
4, 0.85%, 0.18%
4, 0.87%, 0.09%
4, 0.88%, 0.27%
4, 0.89%, 0.09%
4, 0.91%, 0.09%
4, 0.92%, 0.09%
4, 0.94%, 0.09%
4, 0.96%, 0.09%
4, 1.01%, 0.09%
4, 1.02%, 0.09%
4, 1.09%, 0.09%
4, 1.15%, 0.09%
4, 1.16%, 0.09%
4, 1.20%, 0.18%
4, 1.21%, 0.09%
4, 1.22%, 0.09%
4, 1.23%, 0.09%
4, 1.27%, 0.09%
4, 1.30%, 0.09%
4, 1.31%, 0.09%
4, 1.34%, 0.09%
4, 1.35%, 0.09%
4, 1.37%, 0.09%
4, 1.38%, 0.09%
4, 1.49%, 0.09%
4, 1.55%, 0.09%
4, 1.56%, 0.09%
4, 1.64%, 0.09%
4, 1.72%, 0.09%
4, 1.80%, 0.09%
4, 2.12%, 0.09%
4, 2.23%, 0.09%
4, 2.59%, 0.09%
4, 2.74%, 0.09%
4, 2.97%, 0.09%
4, 3.11%, 0.09%
4, 7.75%, 0.09%
5, 0.50%, 0.18%
5, 0.51%, 0.18%
5, 0.52%, 0.09%
5, 0.53%, 0.09%
5, 0.55%, 0.09%
5, 0.60%, 0.09%
5, 0.61%, 0.09%
5, 0.62%, 0.09%
5, 0.63%, 0.18%
5, 0.70%, 0.09%
5, 0.72%, 0.18%
5, 0.73%, 0.09%
5, 0.78%, 0.09%
5, 0.79%, 0.09%
5, 0.80%, 0.18%
5, 0.82%, 0.09%
5, 0.87%, 0.09%
5, 0.90%, 0.18%
5, 0.91%, 0.09%
5, 0.93%, 0.09%
5, 0.95%, 0.09%
5, 0.99%, 0.09%
5, 1.03%, 0.09%
5, 1.05%, 0.18%
5, 1.08%, 0.09%
5, 1.13%, 0.09%
5, 1.17%, 0.18%
5, 1.33%, 0.09%
5, 1.43%, 0.09%
5, 1.75%, 0.09%
5, 1.91%, 0.09%
5, 2.12%, 0.09%
5, 2.27%, 0.09%
6, 0.50%, 0.27%
6, 0.51%, 0.09%
6, 0.54%, 0.27%
6, 0.56%, 0.09%
6, 0.60%, 0.18%
6, 0.61%, 0.09%
6, 0.62%, 0.09%
6, 0.64%, 0.09%
6, 0.65%, 0.09%
6, 0.67%, 0.09%
6, 0.69%, 0.09%
6, 0.73%, 0.18%
6, 0.75%, 0.18%
6, 0.79%, 0.09%
6, 0.81%, 0.09%
6, 0.85%, 0.09%
6, 0.86%, 0.09%
6, 0.91%, 0.09%
6, 0.93%, 0.18%
6, 1.09%, 0.09%
6, 1.11%, 0.09%
6, 1.42%, 0.09%
6, 1.61%, 0.09%
6, 1.63%, 0.09%
6, 1.87%, 0.09%
7, 0.50%, 0.09%
7, 0.52%, 0.09%
7, 0.53%, 0.09%
7, 0.56%, 0.09%
7, 0.58%, 0.09%
7, 0.63%, 0.09%
7, 0.64%, 0.09%
7, 0.67%, 0.09%
7, 0.70%, 0.09%
7, 0.85%, 0.09%
7, 0.87%, 0.09%
7, 0.89%, 0.09%
7, 0.94%, 0.09%
7, 0.96%, 0.09%
7, 1.06%, 0.09%
7, 1.19%, 0.09%
7, 1.22%, 0.09%
7, 1.28%, 0.09%
7, 1.30%, 0.09%
7, 5.05%, 0.09%
8, 0.96%, 0.09%
8, 0.97%, 0.09%
8, 1.07%, 0.09%
8, 1.14%, 0.09%
8, 1.29%, 0.09%
8, 1.43%, 0.09%
8, 1.60%, 0.09%
9, 0.50%, 0.09%
9, 0.59%, 0.09%
9, 0.66%, 0.09%
9, 1.10%, 0.09%
9, 1.23%, 0.09%
10, 0.55%, 0.09%
10, 0.66%, 0.09%
10, 0.80%, 0.09%
10, 0.82%, 0.09%
10, 1.14%, 0.09%
12, 1.02%, 0.09%
14, 0.52%, 0.09%



To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (38675)12/31/2002 3:10:18 AM
From: Lachesis Atropos  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 69853
 
Harry this look reasonable?

I need to create a URL and a CGI script for this. So far this how things look:

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.05%->26.54%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.05%->15.75%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.05%-> 8.64%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.05%-> 4.57%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.05%-> 2.66%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.05%-> 1.42%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.05%-> 0.73%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.05%-> 0.43%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.05%-> 0.26%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.10%->16.98%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.10%->12.18%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.10%-> 7.61%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.10%-> 4.22%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.10%-> 2.58%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.10%-> 1.38%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.10%-> 0.71%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.10%-> 0.41%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.10%-> 0.26%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.15%->10.80%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.15%-> 8.97%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.15%-> 6.33%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.15%-> 3.79%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.15%-> 2.37%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.15%-> 1.30%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.15%-> 0.69%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.15%-> 0.41%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.15%-> 0.26%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.20%-> 7.37%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.20%-> 6.49%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.20%-> 4.91%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.20%-> 3.10%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.20%-> 2.09%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.20%-> 1.10%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.20%-> 0.63%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.20%-> 0.41%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.20%-> 0.26%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.25%-> 4.63%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.25%-> 4.40%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.25%-> 3.45%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.25%-> 2.37%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.25%-> 1.64%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.25%-> 0.95%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.25%-> 0.59%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.25%-> 0.41%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.25%-> 0.26%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.30%-> 2.96%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.30%-> 2.88%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.30%-> 2.31%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.30%-> 1.79%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.30%-> 1.32%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.30%-> 0.85%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.30%-> 0.55%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.30%-> 0.37%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.30%-> 0.26%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.35%-> 1.99%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.35%-> 1.93%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.35%-> 1.64%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.35%-> 1.28%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.35%-> 0.99%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.35%-> 0.73%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.35%-> 0.47%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.35%-> 0.32%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.35%-> 0.22%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.40%-> 1.32%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.40%-> 1.28%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.40%-> 1.14%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.40%-> 0.87%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.40%-> 0.67%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.40%-> 0.55%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.40%-> 0.37%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.40%-> 0.26%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.40%-> 0.16%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.45%-> 1.01%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.45%-> 0.99%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.45%-> 0.89%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.45%-> 0.73%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.45%-> 0.57%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.45%-> 0.45%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.45%-> 0.26%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.45%-> 0.16%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.45%-> 0.10%

Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 1 days by 0.50%-> 0.69%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 2 days by 0.50%-> 0.67%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 3 days by 0.50%-> 0.63%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 4 days by 0.50%-> 0.49%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 5 days by 0.50%-> 0.39%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 6 days by 0.50%-> 0.30%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 7 days by 0.50%-> 0.16%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 8 days by 0.50%-> 0.10%
Probability of the S&P 500 falling the next day given that it was down 9 days by 0.50%-> 0.04%

Lawrence


HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2026 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News