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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: tekboy who wrote (65524)	1/12/2003 2:07:04 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

it's not just the left's problem, Lindy. the right has no viable plan for moving forward either, as far as I can see; there's little reason to believe that "not dealing with them" will accomplish much As far as I can see, everybody is waiting for four things to happen, though only the first two are mentioned in public: 1) The Israeli elections 2) The US campaign in Iraq, and the resulting changes in the Mideast alignment and US influence. 3) War-weariness bringing the intifada to a slowdown if not a truce. This could be by Israeli withdrawal, but I think Palestinian weariness will come first. Not only are they suffering worse, but, at bottom, they know they are not existentially threatened. 4) Arafat's death and the Palestinian War of Succession, bringing new Palestinian management to the scene. After these four things happen, things will look different, though there is no guarantee of their looking better. But at least the diplomats will have fresh scenarios to work with.

To: tekboy who wrote (65524)	1/12/2003 4:18:34 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

the right has no viable plan for moving forward either Tek, I know it is disliked in the Diplomatic world, but " Ya gotta know when to walk away, and know when to run!" It is time to tell the Arabs, "Hey, you guys refuse to make a deal, we will see you around when you change your mind." This may not bring them to the table, but at least we are being honest about it, and that is a good start. I predict we will never get anywhere until the Arabs want a deal. Sadat's deal is the proof of that. We are presently lying to everybody involved when we try to negotiate. I would love to see a piece in FA based on that type of approach. Would probably get the Wonk run out of the Wonk business, though.