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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Louis V. Lambrecht who wrote (27135)1/31/2003 1:34:18 PM
From: Little Joe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
You may right about the house of Saud but they have been on the skids for a while. There is a book out called Chaostan, whose author I can't remember.

I believe that he has a handle on what is happening. Basically the ME has been a tinder box for a long time, but most of us have just become aware of the problems. My pet theory is that the administration understands the situation and that one of the motives for going into Iraq is to give us an American power base from which we will be able to react to ongoing problems in the ME. I am not sure it is a sound policy, but I think if I had to make a decision, given all the posssibilities and choices, it is likely a necessary policy given the neglect of the situation by past administrations including Clinton, Daddy Bush and RR.

The reality is the arab street hates america, that somehow religion is tied up in this mess and that if we don't act we will likely see more terrorism. I guess if I had to make a choice, at this time, the only choice is to use force to protect ourselves. The consequences of not acting are too horrible to contemplate.

Could you imagine what would hapen if a nuke went off in America, or small pox killed millions or some other such catastrophe set off by the religious extremists.

If I were in Bush's shoes and I did nothing to stop it, I couldn't live with myself. I hope and pray that we will never have to face that problem and given some bad choices, I think the President is about right.

Little joe



To: Louis V. Lambrecht who wrote (27135)1/31/2003 3:08:17 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 36161
 
the pressures on the Saudi Royal Family will be huge

full article:
321gold.com

from my "2003 Predictions" article, two predictions .....

Middle East and Iraqi tensions simply will not go away, and a constant state of no resolution persists, as Saddam Hussein continues to sit defiantly in power, American leaders lack the will to initiate broad conclusive attacks on any recognized terrorist states, and European support for US efforts against terrorism and terrorist states dissipates

- lack of European support undermines US will to initiate action against Iraq
- US leaders are seen to be ignoring terrorism with their preoccupation with Iraq
- prob: 60%

The House of Saud shows evidence of some preliminary cracks, offering first evidence of potential regime shift and revolutionary change, as symptoms explode onto the scene with local violence within the Saudi Arabia, attacks on certain royal princes, official crackdowns of terrorist funding, revelation of extortion by religious front organizations, demonstrations against "US Occupation," sponsored raids by US Troops against internal Al Qaeda hideouts near the Yemen border... i.e signs will emerge that all hell will break loose

- the fragile cohesion and support for the Saud Royal family will soon be evident
- Al Qaeda has threatened this criminal corrupt thieving regime for years
- reports of extortion of royals for front organization funding are commonplace
- fundamentalists bristle at the presence of US Air Force on Prince Sultan Airfield
- US Forces know about AlQ hideouts near Yemen, yet do nothing
- Saudis are caught in the middle, holding the nation's commandeered wealth
- prob: 40%