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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ilaine who wrote (74074)2/15/2003 1:18:37 AM
From: D. Long  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
France's idea of progress is producing a few pieces of paper to tease the inspectors into 3 more months of chasing rabbits.

Derek



To: Ilaine who wrote (74074)2/15/2003 2:28:09 AM
From: KLP  Respond to of 281500
 
Speaking of Iraq and France and Oil!!! Look at 1997 T.L. Friedman's article~~~~~

THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN, "A Crude Story," New York Times, October 23, 1997

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KUWAIT--Just north of here, Iraqi refineries near Basra are producing tons of gas-oil used to fire power plants. Almost every day, small pirate vessels hugging the Iranian coast shoot up into the Shatt al-Arab waterway near Basra and load up on this Iraqi gas-oil, which the Iraqis sell the pirates at bargain prices. These small vessels -- always staying just inside the shallow Iraqi or Iranian waters, where the larger U.S. Navy ships maintaining the U.N. blockade on Iraq can't get at them -- then sail back down the Persian Gulf.

Along the way the pirate captains, carrying wads of cash, pay off various Iranian admirals and Revolutionary Guard naval units to gain free passage through Iranian coastal waters. When the pirate boats reach the southern end of the gulf, they wait for when the U.S. Navy isn't around and then shoot across from Iranian waters into the United Arab Emirates or out into the Indian Ocean. In either place, they load their gas-oil onto larger tankers that take it to market. Iraq makes money, Iran makes money, the pirates make money.

Ain't capitalism wonderful?

This pirate trade is only one small way in which the geo-economics of oil is working against the U.S. sanctions on Iran and the U.N. blockade on Iraq. The even bigger story is this: There are today five great lakes of oil in this part of the world -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, Iran and the Caspian Sea in Central Asia. The way international oil companies make their big money is by entering into production-sharing agreements with oil states. That is, the oil company assumes the risk of exploring and developing a country's oilfields, and then shares in its production until the field is dry. This way the oil company has a steady flow of crude for years to pump, refine, ship and market, profiting at each stage.

But such deals are rare these days. Kuwait and Saudi Arabia booted the companies out in the 1970's in order to develop their own oil. They use foreign oil companies purely as technical advisers. Russia, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, along the Caspian Sea, have been ready to sign production-sharing agreements to get that oil out, but because they are fighting over who will get what share and where the pipelines will run, the Caspian remains locked shut.

That leaves Iran and Iraq. Both these countries understand what the oil companies want, and they are ready to give it to them. The deal just signed between Iran and the French, Russian and Malaysian oil companies is a production-sharing agreement for them to search for gas in Iran's huge South Pars offshore gasfield. You can see the allure: the oil companies get the kind of deal they've not seen in the Middle East since the 1970's, and Iran, whose oilfields are rundown, gets technical help from the best oil companies and a thumb in the eye to U.S. sanctions to boot. For now, Iran is limiting these production-sharing deals to offshore fields. But if Iran were to offer on-shore deals, and it's only a matter of time, every oil company in the world would be salivating.

Not to be outdone, Saddam Hussein has signed production-sharing agreements with French, Russian and Italian oil companies that give them the right to develop certain Iraqi fields the minute U.N. sanctions on Iraq are lifted -- thus turning the oil companies into an international lobby on his behalf.

"The Iraqis are offering us incredible splits -- 60, 70 percent for the oil companies," one executive told me. That explains why France and Russia are resisting U.S. efforts to tighten U.N. sanctions on Saddam.


You need to spend only a few days in Kuwait -- hearing from some of the 600 Kuwaiti families who had loved ones abducted by Iraq during the invasion and never accounted for by Baghdad, or visiting the newly rebuilt Kuwaiti oil fields that Iraq gratuitously set ablaze, creating a mammoth ecological disaster -- to be reminded why Saddam is such a menace and why the sanctions on Iraq need to be maintained.

Unfortunately, the geo-economics is pulling the other way. Powerful, oil-driven forces are building against the U.S. sanctions on Iran. And Saddam is clearly hoping that if and when the Iran sanctions collapse, those on Iraq will fall next. No wonder Kuwaitis like to tell American visitors: "There is no cosmic justice. You got Mexico and Canada as neighbors, and we got Iran and Iraq."

mtholyoke.edu