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Non-Tech : Raptor's Den -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: velociraptor_ who wrote (8043)	2/19/2003 1:03:56 AM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 10157

From Brian I looked over on Raptor's web site tonight. Hadn't been there in a while - I used to get over there several times a week. raptorgroupresearch.com He has the Dow commentary and charts updated for tonight. I mentioned to Mish earlier today that one possible count for the S&P was a large expanded flat from January. boards.fool.com I was just imagining that in my head, but Raptor has it all laid out on his charts - and it looks very good. Its the first time I've seen a count for the mess of the last few weeks that accounts for everything. That doesn't mean it's definitely the correct count, but I think it's the best right now. I made a chart for myself for the next few days: tinyurl.com It's basically the same count Raptor has on the Dow. Raptor mentions that once we fall out of that red wave C channel the rally is done. Sounds good to me. Seems like these futures rallies are fooling less and less people, with the volume today and all. I think I'll short spy's with the intention of holding for a few weeks when the spx gets up into the mid-860's or above (below a good stop above 875), or when the spx drops out of that wave C channel. The SPX might get above that critical 868 area before it's over, with two likely endpoints being 871 & 875. The SPX by no means must get up there to complete 5 waves, but it would fit nicely ratio-wise with either wave 1 or wave 3 of this wave C. Is it any coisidence that Max pain is at 875 Mish? Nah! 70 points in 4 days - no problemo. All the Best, Brian

To: velociraptor_ who wrote (8043)	2/19/2003 6:47:13 AM
From: Mao II	Respond to of 10157

V: I see you've knocked about 10-12 percent from your overall Naz downside target -- from 900 to 800. Forgive me if I missed discussion of this, but Im interested in your thinking. Thanks. M2

To: velociraptor_ who wrote (8043)	2/19/2003 7:22:14 AM
From: illyia	Respond to of 10157

Well... let's see... I have six feet of snow on my roof and I am sick of shovelling... Oh, you mean the other kind of personal... On the chart. stockcharts.com[e,a]dhclyiay[d19981001,20031231][p][vc60][ilb21][j9985620,y]&listNum=16 (Wish me luck with that roof!)